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Archimedes Division 2016

Advanced Insights

Qualification Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 70%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 77%

Match score prediction average error: 12.7

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Qualifications
4519 236 3932 95
(86)
B
87% / 5%
63%
4590 498 3630 89
(92)
B
95% / 5%
1540 1986 3135 106
(133)
B
95% / 59%
91%
3211 5404 4534 104
(97)
B
83% / 7%
1923 1501 5858 121
(107)
B
82% / 5%
65%
3098 5422 5876 87
(95)
B
86% / 5%
2338 180 4183 107
(130)
B
95% / 69%
87%
1391 6035 4039 119
(101)
B / C
95% / 18%
1768 5878 6075 98
(105)
B
95% / 6%
77%
107 5401 1310 124
(124)
B
95% / 67%
5050 980 4761 47
(97)
--
95% / 15%
62%
401 45 5926 132
(105)
B
95% / 15%
1325 1257 3527 87
(88)
B
95% / 26%
61%
4911 6032 4125 94
(93)
B
95% / 18%
1208 4103 3847 104
(108)
B
92% / 38%
95%
2586 5842 3166 118
(77)
B
90% / 6%
5417 4564 5024 107
(110)
B
91% / 11%
83%
3602 2881 4508 99
(84)
B
64% / 5%
207 3533 5410 80
(94)
--
73% / 5%
53%
1629 4828 2064 95
(96)
B
95% / 5%
839 6082 1973 68
(85)
B
85% / 48%
95%
4003 3102 3534 107
(124)
B
95% / 67%
999 1318 5987 121
(108)
B / C
92% / 6%
58%
2637 3389 1747 118
(113)
B
95% / 40%
4931 5624 1540 102
(111)
B / C
95% / 24%
54%
1671 1257 1768 95
(108)
B
91% / 38%
4183 5858 4761 97
(81)
B
94% / 5%
75%
4519 5878 1325 91
(100)
B
95% / 38%
2338 4590 6032 81
(82)
B
95% / 5%
53%
5050 3166 3135 97
(85)
B / C
93% / 18%
45 5024 207 97
(116)
B
91% / 35%
65%
1208 1986 6035 87
(105)
B
91% / 11%
5926 839 4534 79
(87)
B
95% / 9%
69%
2586 3602 4828 90
(99)
B / C
95% / 21%
2881 4103 1391 133
(117)
B
93% / 25%
74%
1629 5404 5987 98
(102)
B
95% / 13%
2637 3102 107 104
(119)
--
95% / 59%
94%
5417 498 5624 95
(90)
B
95% / 5%
236 6082 5842 95
(88)
B / C
92% / 33%
91%
1501 1747 4931 100
(133)
B
95% / 20%
4508 4003 1310 124
(111)
B / C
95% / 24%
50%
1318 1923 3847 110
(111)
B / C
90% / 73%
180 3389 5876 101
(100)
B
95% / 7%
77%
3630 3527 1671 77
(85)
B
95% / 5%
5410 5401 4125 66
(92)
B
95% / 14%
89%
401 5422 4564 80
(123)
--
91% / 19%
4911 4039 1973 107
(100)
B / C
95% / 15%
84%
3098 3211 2064 123
(124)
B / C
95% / 19%
3533 3534 999 98
(101)
B
86% / 33%
81%
6075 3932 980 84
(74)
B
89% / 6%
1325 236 3602 107
(98)
B / C
94% / 54%
68%
1986 5878 3166 108
(109)
B / C
95% / 32%
1923 4590 3102 70
(88)
B
87% / 25%
75%
5842 1629 4183 117
(105)
B / C
95% / 23%
4508 4519 5404 102
(93)
B
95% / 27%
83%
1747 1310 839 119
(115)
B / C
95% / 45%
5926 6032 5987 95
(86)
B
95% / 5%
77%
107 6082 5024 91
(103)
B
79% / 39%
5422 1208 3211 81
(83)
B
80% / 5%
53%
4761 1318 3527 101
(85)
B
94% / 14%
4931 498 3135 92
(90)
B
95% / 5%
69%
1973 999 6035 104
(78)
B / C
82% / 5%
4564 1257 4534 109
(99)
B / C
89% / 33%
52%
3533 4039 3630 109
(100)
B / C
95% / 15%
3847 3534 5410 98
(90)
B
95% / 26%
60%
5858 5050 2338 115
(96)
B
92% / 14%
2637 401 1768 116
(114)
B
94% / 17%
76%
4003 4103 4911 136
(136)
B / C
95% / 66%
45 1501 2064 141
(132)
B / C
94% / 46%
85%
5401 1671 2586 133
(100)
B / C
95% / 25%
980 3389 5417 79
(81)
--
95% / 5%
82%
1391 5876 1540 123
(108)
B
94% / 16%
207 3932 3098 157
(114)
B / C
91% / 19%
80%
5624 4125 2881 99
(90)
B
81% / 12%
6075 4508 1257 101
(86)
B
95% / 8%
58%
4828 180 3102 62
(90)
B
90% / 18%
5024 839 5878 103
(86)
B / C
92% / 41%
94%
1318 4931 2338 107
(114)
B
95% / 23%
4183 5422 3630 75
(93)
B
95% / 5%
92%
4003 498 107 98
(126)
--
85% / 85%
999 1768 5410 90
(102)
B
95% / 20%
89%
236 1208 4534 75
(75)
B
73% / 5%
1629 6032 5876 79
(89)
B
95% / 5%
91%
2637 5926 1986 132
(119)
B / C
95% / 11%
4103 45 3211 125
(137)
B
95% / 63%
95%
4590 3534 4125 77
(89)
B
95% / 8%
4039 5401 3166 137
(114)
B / C
95% / 54%
70%
980 1923 207 108
(96)
B
87% / 30%
2881 1747 180 128
(108)
B
78% / 24%
64%
1540 5050 1325 115
(121)
B
95% / 72%
1671 1391 401 108
(107)
B
95% / 32%
87%
3602 3533 1973 103
(71)
B
55% / 18%
2586 3098 1310 120
(138)
B
95% / 61%
95%
6082 5417 3135 69
(80)
B
87% / 22%
5404 2064 5842 95
(109)
B
91% / 37%
68%
3389 3932 4761 97
(94)
B
95% / 17%
4564 1501 6035 143
(132)
B / C
89% / 46%
87%
6075 4911 3847 92
(100)
B / C
95% / 16%
4828 5624 3527 96
(70)
B
93% / 6%
90%
4519 5987 5858 61
(85)
B
88% / 5%
3630 980 3211 100
(89)
B
95% / 6%
71%
5410 4508 5024 80
(76)
B
94% / 5%
2637 1391 207 127
(125)
B
95% / 44%
82%
1257 3534 236 118
(104)
B / C
95% / 80%
5401 5926 4183 137
(119)
B / C
95% / 33%
64%
4103 180 999 138
(129)
B / C
95% / 46%
1629 2338 4125 115
(100)
B
95% / 38%
72%
1747 6082 1540 108
(116)
B
95% / 68%
839 1325 6075 96
(94)
B / C
95% / 33%
55%
3135 2064 1923 122
(96)
B / C
93% / 43%
4003 1986 4534 130
(108)
B
85% / 29%
61%
3098 5417 5842 95
(99)
B
87% / 26%
4519 5050 2881 122
(97)
B / C
78% / 26%
92%
1501 4039 3389 105
(140)
B
95% / 95%
1208 4828 107 115
(81)
--
73% / 5%
54%
5404 4590 4931 75
(79)
B
95% / 5%
401 6035 3932 94
(102)
B
91% / 23%
71%
6032 1768 3102 127
(87)
B / C
95% / 11%
3527 5987 5876 67
(76)
B
94% / 5%
72%
3847 3533 5878 110
(87)
B
73% / 48%
4911 3602 5422 113
(86)
B / C
95% / 5%
89%
45 1310 5624 128
(117)
B / C
95% / 70%
4761 498 1671 113
(90)
B
95% / 5%
91%
3166 1318 4564 139
(130)
B / C
90% / 71%
2586 6075 3389 73
(98)
B
95% / 28%
76%
1973 5858 1629 67
(80)
B
87% / 12%
1391 1501 4125 117
(117)
B / C
95% / 29%
52%
999 839 107 86
(116)
B
74% / 67%
1540 3534 1208 112
(113)
B
95% / 42%
58%
401 4183 4508 86
(108)
B
95% / 18%
5401 3211 5876 80
(109)
B
95% / 38%
76%
3932 4931 1257 108
(95)
B / C
95% / 18%
1310 3527 6035 116
(95)
B
93% / 10%
83%
236 3098 5926 112
(118)
B
95% / 21%
1768 45 1747 132
(126)
B / C
95% / 42%
93%
3630 4828 3135 71
(81)
B
95% / 5%
3166 4911 6082 104
(101)
B
95% / 43%
61%
1318 5417 5404 87
(106)
B
95% / 5%
1671 3847 2881 101
(105)
B
65% / 35%
69%
980 5422 1986 96
(88)
B
74% / 8%
5987 5842 4564 117
(109)
B
92% / 27%
56%
207 1973 5050 90
(104)
--
87% / 28%
180 5624 5878 106
(109)
B
95% / 70%
69%
4590 2064 4003 138
(99)
B / C
93% / 5%
1923 4519 2637 113
(108)
B
95% / 72%
67%
2338 5410 2586 59
(96)
--
95% / 36%
4534 3533 3102 88
(79)
B
68% / 13%
63%
5024 4761 1325 94
(89)
B
95% / 25%
4039 5858 498 96
(105)
B
95% / 21%
70%
4103 3602 6032 96
(118)
B
95% / 45%
6075 5404 45 97
(101)
B
95% / 5%
82%
236 5876 3847 104
(86)
B
89% / 6%
1310 3630 3166 94
(110)
B
95% / 19%
61%
5987 3534 1501 112
(117)
B
95% / 28%
3389 5926 3135 76
(93)
B
95% / 11%
68%
5624 4508 3932 96
(102)
B / C
90% / 40%
1629 4564 3098 123
(137)
B
95% / 78%
90%
2338 1257 4519 133
(102)
B / C
95% / 69%
4183 5417 1768 116
(108)
B
95% / 5%
67%
2064 3527 5024 84
(98)
B
95% / 14%
5410 498 1325 126
(84)
B / C
87% / 17%
85%
4039 1671 839 123
(111)
B / C
95% / 54%
2586 4003 6035 104
(111)
B
93% / 49%
52%
1540 4761 2881 95
(109)
--
84% / 13%
1973 4125 2637 109
(87)
B
95% / 20%
51%
1208 180 980 123
(88)
B
85% / 10%
1923 4103 6082 120
(113)
B
95% / 62%
55%
999 3602 5050 109
(110)
B / C
95% / 58%
5858 401 1318 92
(95)
B
88% / 5%
60%
107 4534 207 87
(103)
--
59% / 8%
5842 5878 3211 119
(100)
B / C
95% / 34%
68%
6032 1391 4828 100
(89)
B
95% / 7%
1747 4590 4911 134
(101)
B / C
95% / 20%
74%
1986 3533 5401 100
(119)
B
95% / 53%
4931 3102 2586 88
(87)
B
94% / 24%
55%
5422 4039 5987 86
(92)
B
90% / 5%
4183 3098 5404 109
(122)
B
95% / 31%
77%
2637 6075 1671 139
(103)
B / C
95% / 24%
1540 3602 3527 116
(102)
B
93% / 50%
55%
3932 5410 1501 132
(106)
B
82% / 29%
6082 3847 498 119
(100)
B
95% / 58%
63%
4534 1768 180 130
(106)
B / C
95% / 12%
4508 107 4103 105
(111)
B
81% / 19%
65%
2338 1325 45 98
(120)
B
93% / 64%
999 1629 401 121
(101)
B / C
95% / 41%
57%
5624 3211 3166 81
(106)
B
94% / 56%
839 236 3389 90
(87)
B / C
93% / 30%
75%
6032 3533 5422 85
(73)
--
80% / 5%
4828 1973 5024 97
(73)
B
95% / 10%
73%
1923 4761 4125 87
(90)
B
95% / 11%
1747 3102 5878 136
(106)
B / C
92% / 47%
67%
5926 4564 1208 120
(119)
B
95% / 19%
3534 2064 5401 143
(119)
B / C
95% / 72%
61%
2881 5842 1318 120
(112)
B
81% / 29%
1257 980 5858 99
(83)
B / C
93% / 12%
64%
6035 4590 5417 78
(74)
B
88% / 5%
4519 4003 207 131
(119)
B
95% / 59%
83%
4911 3135 5876 68
(91)
B
95% / 13%
5050 3630 1986 115
(109)
B
95% / 21%
56%
1391 1310 4931 91
(113)
B
95% / 20%
6082 4828 5422 88
(75)
B
94% / 5%
95%
3932 1325 2637 98
(121)
B
95% / 68%
5404 180 2586 112
(107)
B
95% / 30%
57%
5624 4564 6032 116
(112)
B
95% / 71%
5878 3534 45 125
(118)
B / C
95% / 71%
74%
3389 1923 498 81
(105)
--
95% / 39%
5417 5987 1671 80
(87)
--
95% / 5%
78%
236 3211 2338 116
(106)
B
90% / 38%
2064 980 107 102
(107)
B
68% / 27%
62%
4519 1747 3602 116
(117)
B
95% / 85%
5410 1973 1318 96
(88)
B / C
85% / 16%
90%
4183 1257 1986 127
(126)
B
95% / 63%
3847 1501 3135 176
(110)
B / C
95% / 45%
72%
3102 401 4125 102
(90)
B
95% / 14%
3630 4911 1208 96
(95)
B
95% / 7%
67%
839 2881 5858 114
(85)
B
86% / 8%
6035 5050 4508 104
(92)
B
94% / 16%
63%
5401 3527 1629 71
(101)
--
95% / 46%
4039 5024 999 79
(114)
--
95% / 64%
71%
1310 5842 5876 101
(100)
--
95% / 13%
4931 4003 3166 128
(101)
B / C
95% / 22%
66%
5926 3533 6075 90
(90)
B
95% / 5%
1391 4590 3098 98
(105)
--
95% / 27%
58%
4761 207 1768 162
(112)
B
95% / 7%
4534 1540 1501 135
(126)
B / C
89% / 49%
77%
4103 1973 5878 129
(109)
B / C
95% / 25%
6032 4519 5417 86
(83)
B
95% / 12%
76%
1208 1671 1923 112
(99)
B / C
92% / 24%
1986 2064 401 113
(123)
B
95% / 25%
89%
4508 5987 498 95
(92)
--
81% / 5%
4828 980 236 91
(87)
B
94% / 13%
95%
4564 4183 4911 128
(133)
B / C
95% / 65%
5404 2338 5422 124
(92)
B
91% / 5%
60%
5926 999 3630 114
(100)
B
95% / 10%
3932 4003 5858 97
(109)
B
95% / 20%
62%
5024 1391 1257 108
(101)
B
95% / 65%
1768 1318 3533 115
(120)
B
93% / 36%
80%
5050 4125 2586 129
(96)
B / C
95% / 20%
4761 1629 3135 85
(88)
B
95% / 20%
82%
3534 107 4039 133
(115)
B / C
88% / 63%
3166 1540 2637 123
(123)
B
95% / 65%
80%
839 45 5842 90
(105)
B
95% / 44%
2881 4590 3527 95
(80)
B
80% / 5%
53%
6082 4534 6075 80
(78)
B
95% / 7%
4931 3389 5401 88
(88)
B
91% / 16%
86%
1325 3098 3847 99
(116)
B
95% / 69%
1747 5624 5876 104
(100)
B
95% / 34%
51%
5410 6035 4103 119
(100)
B
95% / 12%
3602 3102 1310 112
(112)
B / C
91% / 65%
69%
180 207 3211 119
(126)
B
95% / 35%

Ranking Predictions (?)

Remember, ranking predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Predictions will update throughout the event.

Predicted rankings as of qualification match #125

Predicted Rank Team Average Rank Highest Rank Median Rank Lowest Rank Average RP Highest RP Lowest RP
1 1501 1.0 1 1 1 33.0 33 33
2 4003 2.0 2 2 2 31.0 31 31
3 3166 3.0 3 3 3 31.0 31 31
4 2064 4.0 4 4 4 29.0 29 29
5 1747 5.0 5 5 5 28.0 28 28
6 4103 6.0 6 6 6 28.0 28 28
7 45 7.0 7 7 7 28.0 28 28
8 4564 8.0 8 8 8 28.0 28 28
9 3534 9.0 9 9 9 28.0 28 28
10 1257 10.0 10 10 10 28.0 28 28
11 1310 11.0 11 11 11 27.0 27 27
12 3932 12.0 12 12 12 27.0 27 27
13 6035 13.0 13 13 13 27.0 27 27
14 999 14.0 14 14 14 26.0 26 26
15 2586 15.0 15 15 15 26.0 26 26
16 1986 16.0 16 16 16 26.0 26 26
17 5878 17.0 17 17 17 26.0 26 26
18 4911 18.0 18 18 18 26.0 26 26
19 1391 19.0 19 19 19 25.0 25 25
20 1768 20.0 20 20 20 25.0 25 25
21 2637 21.0 21 21 21 25.0 25 25
22 4931 22.0 22 22 22 25.0 25 25
23 3211 23.0 23 23 23 24.0 24 24
24 180 24.0 24 24 24 24.0 24 24
25 4519 25.0 25 25 25 24.0 24 24
26 5858 26.0 26 26 26 24.0 24 24
27 5050 27.0 27 27 27 24.0 24 24
28 1318 28.0 28 28 28 24.0 24 24
29 4183 29.0 29 29 29 23.0 23 23
30 4039 30.0 30 30 30 23.0 23 23
31 5624 31.0 31 31 31 23.0 23 23
32 3847 32.0 32 32 32 23.0 23 23
33 1540 33.0 33 33 33 23.0 23 23
34 5842 34.0 34 34 34 22.0 22 22
35 401 35.0 35 35 35 22.0 22 22
36 2338 36.0 36 36 36 22.0 22 22
37 1923 37.0 37 37 37 22.0 22 22
38 2881 38.0 38 38 38 22.0 22 22
39 3102 39.0 39 39 39 22.0 22 22
40 236 40.0 40 40 40 22.0 22 22
41 1671 41.0 41 41 41 21.0 21 21
42 4508 42.0 42 42 42 21.0 21 21
43 1325 43.0 43 43 43 21.0 21 21
44 839 44.0 44 44 44 21.0 21 21
45 3135 45.0 45 45 45 21.0 21 21
46 207 46.0 46 46 46 20.0 20 20
47 4828 47.0 47 47 47 20.0 20 20
48 5024 48.0 48 48 48 20.0 20 20
49 3602 49.0 49 49 49 20.0 20 20
50 4125 50.0 50 50 50 20.0 20 20
51 5401 51.0 51 51 51 19.0 19 19
52 107 52.0 52 52 52 19.0 19 19
53 1629 53.0 53 53 53 19.0 19 19
54 3098 54.0 54 54 54 19.0 19 19
55 4534 55.0 55 55 55 19.0 19 19
56 6075 56.0 56 56 56 19.0 19 19
57 6032 57.0 57 57 57 19.0 19 19
58 4761 58.0 58 58 58 18.0 18 18
59 5926 59.0 59 59 59 18.0 18 18
60 5410 60.0 60 60 60 18.0 18 18
61 1208 61.0 61 61 61 18.0 18 18
62 5987 62.0 62 62 62 17.0 17 17
63 3389 63.0 63 63 63 17.0 17 17
64 3527 64.0 64 64 64 17.0 17 17
65 5876 65.0 65 65 65 17.0 17 17
66 4590 66.0 66 66 66 17.0 17 17
67 1973 67.0 67 67 67 17.0 17 17
68 3630 68.0 68 68 68 16.0 16 16
69 6082 69.0 69 69 69 15.0 15 15
70 980 70.0 70 70 70 15.0 15 15
71 3533 71.0 71 71 71 14.0 14 14
72 498 72.0 72 72 72 13.0 13 13
73 5422 73.0 73 73 73 13.0 13 13
74 5404 74.0 74 74 74 12.0 12 12
75 5417 75.0 75 75 75 12.0 12 12

Playoff Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 67%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 60%

Match score prediction average error: 36.5

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Quarterfinals
5050 1986 1501 215
(175)
B / C
95% / 56%
70%
3534 2637 3098 183
(167)
B / C
95% / 81%
5050 1986 1501 202
(182)
B / C
95% / 64%
73%
3534 2637 3098 136
(169)
B
95% / 80%
4039 2064 2338 195
(166)
B / C
95% / 76%
63%
1768 1747 207 137
(171)
B
95% / 48%
4039 2064 2338 114
(169)
B
95% / 73%
57%
1768 1747 107 110
(155)
B
84% / 50%
4564 4003 1257 209
(182)
B / C
95% / 95%
74%
45 1540 1671 147
(154)
B
95% / 43%
4564 4003 1257 194
(188)
B / C
95% / 95%
86%
236 1540 1671 107
(149)
B
95% / 46%
999 180 3166 134
(141)
B
95% / 41%
88%
1310 4103 1318 129
(179)
B
95% / 71%
3211 3166 180 157
(141)
B
95% / 38%
85%
4103 1310 1318 91
(167)
B
95% / 50%
Semifinals
5050 1986 1501 200
(185)
B / C
95% / 70%
75%
4039 2064 2338 0
(160)
B / C
95% / 61%
5050 1986 1501 220
(188)
B / C
95% / 70%
94%
4039 2064 2338 86
(135)
--
95% / 61%
4564 4003 1257 109
(188)
--
95% / 92%
86%
3166 180 3211 167
(148)
B / C
95% / 40%
4564 4003 1257 136
(179)
B
94% / 81%
78%
3166 180 3211 84
(149)
--
95% / 42%
4564 4003 1257 120
(174)
B
94% / 72%
77%
3166 180 999 124
(143)
B
95% / 39%
Finals
5050 1986 1501 230
(192)
B / C
95% / 75%
92%
999 180 3166 132
(142)
B
95% / 39%
5050 1986 1501 180
(196)
B
95% / 79%
93%
3166 180 3211 129
(141)
B
95% / 31%