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Carson Division 2016

Advanced Insights

Qualification Match Predictions (?)

Remember, ranking predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 74%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 87%

Match score prediction average error: 15.2

Match Red Alliance Blue Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Win/Loss
Prediction
Confidence
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Qualifications
5454 2137 2122 233 1625 6098 110
(109)
85
(104)
B
76% / 48%
B
75% / 48%
54%
5332 60 2978 1533 5897 1156 53
(79)
42
(122)
--
74% / 13%
--
72% / 28%
77%
904 5572 5167 5907 3352 610 99
(103)
111
(110)
B
66% / 38%
B / C
80% / 52%
55%
868 4135 319 1137 2655 2771 99
(117)
101
(136)
B
66% / 54%
B
79% / 80%
63%
5913 4121 3021 5879 11 2202 81
(93)
56
(81)
B
76% / 12%
B
53% / 15%
58%
225 973 1718 4131 51 5084 114
(149)
54
(119)
B
81% / 76%
--
77% / 65%
70%
746 1258 2052 2996 1126 2445 119
(119)
79
(94)
B / C
81% / 61%
B
77% / 31%
67%
6144 3688 2761 3538 1024 2474 109
(89)
162
(137)
B
66% / 16%
B / C
74% / 58%
80%
2485 2590 1939 4026 4362 135 110
(104)
110
(144)
B
64% / 50%
B
79% / 68%
76%
3824 2403 2526 5895 5663 5712 101
(123)
110
(114)
B
78% / 42%
B
78% / 39%
56%
1987 1619 41 1369 2486 4592 140
(138)
43
(91)
B / C
83% / 65%
--
80% / 28%
80%
296 2067 6025 1918 525 1159 84
(106)
124
(134)
--
63% / 27%
B
74% / 43%
69%
4264 4028 1156 3970 904 5084 110
(130)
131
(105)
B / C
59% / 51%
B
67% / 35%
67%
3538 5332 1718 2122 5167 2445 115
(103)
119
(108)
B
73% / 38%
B / C
86% / 56%
53%
3688 2978 2202 2137 5907 4026 91
(96)
125
(106)
B
58% / 24%
B / C
79% / 40%
57%
1939 868 610 5895 973 746 123
(129)
139
(113)
B / C
72% / 90%
B / C
64% / 49%
62%
2403 4121 5897 51 2655 4592 89
(54)
87
(76)
B
63% / 1%
B
80% / 19%
65%
41 2067 4362 1625 2996 11 145
(143)
142
(104)
B / C
68% / 45%
B / C
70% / 27%
76%
4131 3824 1159 1024 5572 4264 106
(114)
130
(120)
B
75% / 36%
B / C
65% / 60%
55%
3021 3970 2052 1918 6098 2474 109
(152)
117
(130)
--
82% / 74%
B
75% / 50%
66%
1533 296 319 2486 5454 5913 93
(102)
109
(81)
B
61% / 34%
B
69% / 21%
64%
1137 2526 525 225 4028 2485 104
(108)
130
(139)
B
78% / 29%
B / C
73% / 62%
71%
3352 2590 4135 1126 1619 233 99
(92)
120
(107)
B
72% / 19%
B / C
74% / 44%
60%
6144 2771 5663 1369 60 1258 102
(118)
95
(85)
--
71% / 18%
B
73% / 24%
72%
5712 135 1987 5879 2761 6025 113
(117)
80
(46)
B
84% / 34%
B
47% / 2%
90%
1625 5084 868 904 1918 2403 133
(118)
151
(118)
B
66% / 54%
B / C
72% / 23%
50%
3824 5907 3538 2486 973 2137 127
(132)
160
(114)
B
80% / 72%
B / C
68% / 60%
63%
51 2445 2978 3021 4028 5572 77
(62)
61
(119)
B
60% / 7%
B
64% / 37%
85%
525 610 2202 5332 2655 6098 122
(130)
104
(89)
B
65% / 72%
B
75% / 28%
77%
4026 5913 2067 233 4264 5895 86
(115)
142
(117)
--
79% / 36%
B / C
72% / 52%
51%
5454 3688 5897 4135 225 4362 92
(105)
127
(121)
B
77% / 38%
B / C
68% / 36%
61%
11 2761 135 296 5167 746 77
(103)
99
(91)
--
71% / 26%
B
74% / 27%
59%
2771 6025 1156 1126 1939 1718 85
(115)
108
(84)
--
45% / 37%
B / C
67% / 35%
71%
1533 1137 2474 1619 1159 1258 111
(112)
84
(123)
B / C
76% / 37%
B
82% / 52%
58%
2526 2996 2590 1987 6144 4121 105
(116)
83
(84)
B
78% / 59%
B
68% / 17%
71%
1369 4131 5879 3352 2052 2485 82
(67)
109
(111)
B
67% / 5%
B
73% / 37%
78%
5663 2122 3970 41 5712 1024 122
(109)
135
(156)
B
79% / 38%
B
62% / 90%
80%
319 60 2202 4592 2067 5572 93
(88)
77
(83)
B
62% / 34%
B
61% / 17%
54%
2445 4362 2137 2486 6025 5895 137
(125)
124
(108)
B
86% / 30%
B
63% / 35%
61%
5913 1258 3538 2978 135 2403 108
(103)
117
(89)
B
78% / 45%
B
53% / 14%
60%
5332 1137 5454 1987 973 2590 101
(92)
161
(133)
B / C
80% / 31%
B / C
82% / 62%
76%
51 4121 4264 2052 525 1619 92
(88)
115
(156)
B
79% / 20%
B / C
68% / 78%
88%
233 5167 1156 1159 2485 6144 105
(107)
96
(78)
B / C
67% / 60%
B
65% / 10%
70%
296 3824 225 2771 2996 610 132
(125)
169
(144)
B
73% / 55%
B / C
63% / 83%
63%
4135 1625 4131 746 4028 5712 111
(107)
79
(97)
B
73% / 19%
B
80% / 24%
57%
1126 2655 4026 5907 1024 1918 80
(87)
160
(157)
B
70% / 26%
B / C
70% / 89%
89%
6098 4592 5084 1533 5663 3688 97
(72)
112
(111)
B
71% / 5%
B
75% / 27%
76%
3352 2122 868 3021 60 2761 143
(104)
87
(71)
B / C
76% / 37%
B
53% / 4%
72%
5897 1718 904 2474 1369 11 104
(93)
77
(92)
B
75% / 17%
B
65% / 35%
51%
3970 41 319 5879 1939 2526 150
(131)
70
(75)
B / C
71% / 66%
--
63% / 15%
84%
4264 2202 2996 2403 5712 2486 117
(115)
115
(103)
B / C
82% / 57%
B / C
75% / 38%
58%
225 5572 5913 1126 1625 5332 129
(90)
110
(109)
B / C
66% / 17%
B
74% / 49%
63%
5895 1918 2590 1156 3538 525 152
(164)
115
(107)
B / C
75% / 77%
B
56% / 36%
84%
2655 5663 135 51 6144 5454 118
(101)
89
(85)
B / C
73% / 18%
B
71% / 30%
61%
5084 6025 11 1137 1369 5907 82
(72)
103
(87)
B
59% / 18%
B
70% / 36%
60%
1159 4121 2761 973 1258 4362 90
(65)
124
(149)
B
69% / 3%
B / C
78% / 81%
93%
2052 4028 1533 233 4026 868 170
(116)
139
(103)
B / C
66% / 55%
B / C
63% / 49%
59%
1024 2485 3021 319 610 1619 132
(123)
153
(130)
B / C
57% / 62%
B / C
74% / 75%
54%
4592 3352 2474 2137 3824 746 115
(92)
111
(123)
B / C
78% / 19%
B
76% / 47%
71%
2978 1987 3970 5167 2771 2067 110
(103)
147
(140)
B
65% / 23%
B / C
66% / 68%
75%
60 2445 1718 296 41 4135 138
(92)
100
(97)
B
79% / 5%
B
59% / 22%
53%
2526 3688 2122 4131 904 1939 147
(112)
109
(103)
B / C
64% / 50%
B / C
74% / 37%
57%
5879 6098 4028 5897 2996 3538 108
(93)
122
(97)
B
77% / 9%
B
70% / 20%
53%
2485 5895 1619 2761 2202 1625 139
(139)
112
(98)
B / C
69% / 59%
B
69% / 20%
77%
1258 1156 4026 3352 11 5454 79
(83)
80
(82)
B
58% / 48%
B
74% / 25%
51%
2403 1126 2137 3021 5167 525 121
(115)
97
(109)
B / C
77% / 44%
B
74% / 50%
54%
225 2067 2474 135 868 4121 165
(139)
125
(123)
B / C
62% / 70%
B
73% / 39%
61%
1369 51 3824 3970 1533 2526 50
(86)
94
(112)
--
71% / 11%
B
59% / 36%
68%
6144 610 5084 4135 2486 2052 111
(114)
129
(114)
B / C
73% / 38%
B / C
61% / 49%
50%
4362 5332 1939 296 4592 5907 81
(107)
88
(94)
B
68% / 45%
B
70% / 33%
59%
2771 4131 973 5913 41 1918 165
(141)
110
(136)
B / C
60% / 53%
B
71% / 46%
53%
4264 5663 2590 2122 5897 6025 125
(115)
88
(83)
B / C
77% / 51%
B
48% / 18%
72%
1137 2445 1024 904 60 5879 131
(136)
87
(106)
B
82% / 63%
B
71% / 24%
70%
6098 5712 1159 319 2978 1718 74
(84)
120
(98)
B
80% / 19%
B
60% / 47%
59%
233 1987 746 5572 3688 2655 97
(103)
105
(105)
B
68% / 30%
B
74% / 33%
51%
525 1126 6144 11 1533 3824 105
(92)
120
(92)
B
71% / 23%
B
56% / 35%
50%
2771 5454 2202 2526 2474 5084 78
(111)
87
(107)
--
55% / 49%
--
67% / 41%
53%
4121 5907 4135 2403 2485 2122 70
(92)
139
(130)
B
63% / 37%
B / C
60% / 66%
75%
5897 3970 3352 3538 296 1137 95
(92)
96
(106)
B
73% / 10%
B / C
77% / 34%
60%
1619 2996 1918 1939 135 2137 126
(140)
102
(119)
B / C
74% / 59%
B
60% / 58%
65%
41 51 5879 5332 1159 746 103
(90)
96
(75)
B
68% / 15%
B
71% / 17%
61%
904 2761 2486 2978 2655 233 121
(114)
102
(91)
B
75% / 30%
B / C
57% / 31%
66%
4592 1258 1024 1718 2590 4028 115
(122)
121
(142)
B / C
69% / 74%
B / C
73% / 73%
64%
2052 319 1625 6025 3688 60 150
(150)
72
(105)
B / C
77% / 82%
--
68% / 29%
79%
6098 5895 3021 4264 225 1987 88
(108)
127
(145)
B
74% / 36%
B / C
78% / 77%
75%
868 5167 1369 5913 4362 5712 107
(102)
107
(102)
B
73% / 44%
B
74% / 24%
50%
610 4131 5663 2445 2067 1156 124
(124)
114
(102)
B / C
75% / 45%
B
72% / 26%
65%
4026 973 2996 5572 4135 3970 97
(127)
79
(83)
B
80% / 57%
--
68% / 17%
78%
6144 1918 4028 41 2202 3352 157
(118)
97
(98)
B
78% / 33%
B
70% / 26%
64%
1126 1159 2486 2526 5897 135 92
(101)
84
(83)
B / C
72% / 47%
--
55% / 8%
62%
2137 2771 4264 5332 1024 4121 126
(145)
118
(119)
B
59% / 70%
B / C
74% / 54%
68%
5712 2590 5907 2474 51 60 148
(115)
87
(96)
B / C
69% / 66%
B
65% / 27%
63%
11 3538 233 5663 1939 225 100
(111)
133
(103)
B
71% / 54%
B
69% / 45%
55%
1625 296 1369 2978 3021 1156 68
(83)
109
(63)
--
61% / 12%
B
50% / 11%
64%
1987 5084 4026 319 3824 2445 112
(88)
116
(122)
B
70% / 25%
B
81% / 47%
73%
5167 4592 5454 5895 2052 4131 97
(90)
144
(152)
B
77% / 42%
B
70% / 76%
86%
2655 2122 973 2067 5879 1533 187
(143)
120
(109)
B / C
68% / 75%
B
70% / 32%
72%
746 1619 4362 904 525 5913 85
(113)
120
(115)
B
68% / 38%
B
79% / 20%
51%
6098 5572 6025 2485 1258 868 113
(51)
144
(122)
B
59% / 4%
--
72% / 66%
89%
1137 2403 3688 2761 610 1718 125
(125)
142
(127)
B / C
79% / 59%
B
59% / 64%
52%
4135 1156 2202 1987 1024 51 102
(62)
132
(120)
B
51% / 21%
B
68% / 60%
84%
2486 1625 5167 1939 2474 4121 95
(133)
100
(92)
B
82% / 67%
B
66% / 37%
77%
4028 973 1126 1369 319 5663 142
(129)
80
(83)
B / C
74% / 54%
B
62% / 19%
79%
11 5895 2122 2996 1159 2978 133
(136)
82
(98)
B / C
67% / 73%
B
71% / 43%
75%
6025 3538 868 1619 4131 5454 167
(122)
124
(104)
B / C
70% / 46%
B
70% / 39%
62%
4362 233 1918 3824 60 1137 116
(130)
135
(101)
B
63% / 50%
B / C
68% / 30%
69%
1533 5572 610 2590 41 135 115
(114)
154
(143)
B
60% / 56%
B
64% / 65%
70%
2052 904 4026 3021 2771 5897 126
(126)
92
(81)
B / C
75% / 56%
B
45% / 8%
79%
2655 5084 1258 296 2137 5913 101
(105)
109
(98)
B / C
69% / 52%
B / C
70% / 31%
54%
746 6144 2403 6098 225 3970 82
(103)
132
(131)
B
75% / 30%
B / C
79% / 40%
69%
2445 2761 5907 2526 4592 4264 61
(113)
98
(87)
--
78% / 31%
B
63% / 36%
68%
2485 5712 5332 3352 2067 3688 90
(95)
95
(118)
B
63% / 40%
B
75% / 47%
66%
1718 525 2486 5879 868 5663 151
(118)
125
(119)
B / C
64% / 57%
B
76% / 27%
51%
41 5895 3538 904 4121 1126 160
(153)
88
(101)
B / C
73% / 80%
B
80% / 19%
82%
5897 5167 51 1258 2122 319 105
(69)
120
(131)
B / C
76% / 7%
B
68% / 74%
87%
2137 4028 60 2403 1987 11 136
(125)
96
(112)
B
73% / 48%
B
71% / 53%
59%
233 4592 5913 3970 6025 610 88
(91)
122
(128)
B
72% / 35%
B
63% / 64%
74%
4135 1939 2761 3824 6098 2067 68
(73)
185
(122)
B
45% / 26%
B / C
77% / 45%
81%
1619 5712 1137 296 4026 6144 98
(106)
85
(76)
B
67% / 47%
B
69% / 22%
70%
5332 1533 5907 2996 3021 4131 126
(100)
108
(102)
B / C
62% / 45%
B
73% / 33%
52%
225 1159 1369 2590 2202 2655 110
(84)
135
(119)
B
59% / 25%
B / C
66% / 53%
73%
1718 1918 2485 746 5454 4264 127
(132)
80
(93)
B / C
58% / 54%
--
75% / 46%
76%
1024 3352 973 2978 2052 2526 157
(147)
89
(107)
B / C
72% / 68%
B
54% / 37%
76%
5572 2474 5879 1156 5084 4362 96
(90)
128
(97)
B
69% / 18%
B / C
65% / 36%
55%
135 525 2445 2771 3688 1625 127
(109)
131
(127)
B / C
72% / 21%
B / C
59% / 36%
62%

Ranking Predictions (?)

Remember, ranking predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Predictions will update throughout the event.

Predicted rankings as of qualification match #125

Predicted Rank Team Average Rank Highest Rank Median Rank Lowest Rank Average RP Highest RP Lowest RP
1 973 1.0 1 1 1 38.0 38 38
2 2590 2.0 2 2 2 33.0 33 33
3 225 3.0 3 3 3 32.0 32 32
4 5895 4.0 4 4 4 32.0 32 32
5 2122 5.0 5 5 5 32.0 32 32
6 1718 6.0 6 6 6 32.0 32 32
7 1024 7.0 7 7 7 31.0 31 31
8 2052 8.0 8 8 8 31.0 31 31
9 1918 9.0 9 9 9 31.0 31 31
10 2137 10.0 10 10 10 30.0 30 30
11 1619 11.0 11 11 11 30.0 30 30
12 610 12.0 12 12 12 30.0 30 30
13 4264 13.0 13 13 13 29.0 29 29
14 1137 14.0 14 14 14 29.0 29 29
15 41 15.0 15 15 15 28.0 28 28
16 5907 16.0 16 16 16 28.0 28 28
17 3352 17.0 17 17 17 28.0 28 28
18 2485 18.0 18 18 18 27.0 27 27
19 319 19.0 19 19 19 27.0 27 27
20 4028 20.0 20 20 20 27.0 27 27
21 2474 21.0 21 21 21 27.0 27 27
22 5663 22.0 22 22 22 26.0 26 26
23 4362 23.0 23 23 23 26.0 26 26
24 2486 24.0 24 24 24 26.0 26 26
25 2996 25.0 25 25 25 26.0 26 26
26 2771 26.0 26 26 26 25.0 25 25
27 2655 27.0 27 27 27 25.0 25 25
28 1126 28.0 28 28 28 25.0 25 25
29 2403 29.0 29 29 29 25.0 25 25
30 904 30.0 30 30 30 25.0 25 25
31 3538 31.0 31 31 31 24.0 24 24
32 1533 32.0 32 32 32 24.0 24 24
33 1987 33.0 33 33 33 23.0 23 23
34 525 34.0 34 34 34 23.0 23 23
35 5712 35.0 35 35 35 23.0 23 23
36 5167 36.0 36 36 36 23.0 23 23
37 2445 37.0 37 37 37 23.0 23 23
38 2067 38.0 38 38 38 22.0 22 22
39 5913 39.0 39 39 39 22.0 22 22
40 3688 40.0 40 40 40 22.0 22 22
41 1258 41.0 41 41 41 21.0 21 21
42 233 42.0 42 42 42 21.0 21 21
43 868 43.0 43 43 43 20.0 20 20
44 4131 44.0 44 44 44 20.0 20 20
45 3970 45.0 45 45 45 20.0 20 20
46 2978 46.0 46 46 46 20.0 20 20
47 3824 47.0 47 47 47 19.0 19 19
48 4026 48.0 48 48 48 19.0 19 19
49 135 49.0 49 49 49 19.0 19 19
50 1939 50.0 50 50 50 19.0 19 19
51 60 51.0 51 51 51 19.0 19 19
52 2202 52.0 52 52 52 19.0 19 19
53 1625 53.0 53 53 53 18.0 18 18
54 6098 54.0 54 54 54 18.0 18 18
55 296 55.0 55 55 55 18.0 18 18
56 2526 56.0 56 56 56 18.0 18 18
57 5084 57.0 57 57 57 17.0 17 17
58 746 58.0 58 58 58 17.0 17 17
59 4121 59.0 59 59 59 17.0 17 17
60 11 60.0 60 60 60 17.0 17 17
61 4592 61.0 61 61 61 17.0 17 17
62 1156 62.0 62 62 62 17.0 17 17
63 4135 63.0 63 63 63 17.0 17 17
64 5572 64.0 64 64 64 17.0 17 17
65 5332 65.0 65 65 65 16.0 16 16
66 1159 66.0 66 66 66 15.0 15 15
67 51 67.0 67 67 67 15.0 15 15
68 5897 68.0 68 68 68 15.0 15 15
69 5454 69.0 69 69 69 15.0 15 15
70 6144 70.0 70 70 70 14.0 14 14
71 3021 71.0 71 71 71 14.0 14 14
72 6025 72.0 72 72 72 12.0 12 12
73 2761 73.0 73 73 73 12.0 12 12
74 5879 74.0 74 74 74 11.0 11 11
75 1369 75.0 75 75 75 10.0 10 10