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Galileo Division 2016

Advanced Insights

Qualification Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 76%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 86%

Match score prediction average error: 13.8

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Qualifications
3786 870 2283 89
(97)
B
91% / 5%
58%
1124 4625 88 105
(89)
B
87% / 6%
5448 5034 341 132
(114)
B
93% / 10%
50%
175 1197 2907 121
(114)
B / C
95% / 35%
2502 6166 195 162
(121)
B / C
95% / 29%
51%
5855 558 5813 115
(120)
B
95% / 36%
494 5057 5930 102
(88)
B
57% / 8%
68%
5012 2935 623 83
(99)
B
95% / 5%
3132 176 4945 109
(105)
B
95% / 13%
70%
4450 2638 4013 105
(91)
B
68% / 6%
5872 6012 3637 74
(79)
B
95% / 5%
95%
4499 1023 1701 141
(127)
B / C
95% / 53%
2642 2383 68 88
(108)
B
95% / 5%
64%
4384 6175 5846 98
(100)
--
67% / 28%
365 4525 4159 115
(80)
B
76% / 5%
74%
4063 4330 5690 98
(96)
B
95% / 5%
4009 2439 932 106
(106)
B / C
95% / 38%
61%
245 3683 5243 117
(113)
B / C
95% / 25%
5827 4290 987 127
(119)
B / C
95% / 53%
85%
1065 3128 3018 80
(90)
B
95% / 18%
5006 1209 4740 74
(77)
B
92% / 5%
95%
2987 3926 1153 94
(118)
B
95% / 18%
4403 6193 538 71
(82)
B
92% / 5%
71%
3539 1339 333 127
(98)
B
95% / 5%
2341 2468 2638 105
(116)
B / C
95% / 40%
93%
279 2642 2935 106
(87)
B
95% / 5%
870 4499 5813 114
(121)
B
95% / 52%
78%
5448 3132 2383 96
(105)
B
95% / 5%
558 1197 623 122
(114)
B
95% / 29%
78%
176 4330 4625 84
(94)
B
84% / 7%
175 1701 5012 89
(121)
B
95% / 36%
73%
3128 365 88 123
(106)
B / C
95% / 53%
5243 5057 987 85
(113)
B
74% / 21%
89%
5690 5034 3786 69
(79)
B
95% / 5%
5872 6175 4945 72
(71)
--
37% / 5%
92%
333 2987 1065 125
(109)
B / C
93% / 31%
2283 68 2907 102
(97)
B
93% / 9%
59%
3637 3018 2502 101
(90)
--
94% / 13%
4009 1209 538 74
(75)
B
91% / 5%
72%
1124 5846 4159 115
(91)
B
83% / 5%
3926 279 5855 69
(89)
B
95% / 5%
75%
3539 5930 245 97
(107)
--
91% / 30%
5006 2468 4384 95
(120)
B
95% / 72%
63%
4063 4403 341 85
(129)
B
95% / 26%
4013 4740 6166 59
(74)
B
87% / 5%
79%
1339 4450 932 107
(100)
B
95% / 34%
195 2439 4525 153
(139)
B / C
95% / 62%
83%
2341 6193 1023 106
(109)
B
95% / 29%
494 3683 4290 134
(134)
B / C
95% / 79%
95%
5827 1153 6012 72
(98)
B
95% / 5%
5057 5448 4330 92
(85)
--
78% / 5%
89%
987 2642 538 124
(115)
B
95% / 27%
88 3132 3018 77
(82)
B
95% / 5%
66%
1209 5690 279 79
(73)
B
89% / 5%
5855 176 4403 101
(97)
B
95% / 15%
54%
5243 5846 2907 55
(94)
--
95% / 9%
4063 6166 1701 127
(110)
B / C
95% / 11%
89%
4013 5034 5012 61
(65)
B
91% / 5%
2283 623 5930 73
(81)
B
87% / 5%
95%
195 4384 5813 172
(152)
B / C
95% / 95%
494 2439 5827 97
(117)
B
95% / 44%
51%
2468 3539 2987 132
(117)
B / C
93% / 63%
3683 1023 4945 106
(134)
B
95% / 81%
89%
68 175 2935 114
(107)
B
94% / 19%
870 2638 1197 112
(123)
B
95% / 49%
87%
2341 1065 932 107
(96)
B
92% / 31%
3128 1339 558 114
(111)
B
95% / 30%
67%
5872 1153 1124 88
(100)
B
90% / 30%
3786 6175 3637 105
(83)
B / C
71% / 20%
50%
6193 4159 3926 92
(83)
B
95% / 5%
333 4450 341 127
(128)
B / C
95% / 40%
78%
2383 4525 245 101
(102)
B
93% / 5%
4290 4499 4625 85
(92)
B
95% / 28%
70%
5006 4009 2502 95
(105)
B
87% / 37%
6012 365 68 94
(104)
B
95% / 5%
59%
4740 2439 176 121
(110)
B
95% / 20%
538 4384 3683 97
(111)
B
95% / 81%
95%
870 5855 3018 93
(84)
--
95% / 5%
5057 1023 3539 114
(110)
B
78% / 20%
57%
88 932 558 104
(115)
B / C
95% / 58%
5243 2987 4063 104
(97)
B
87% / 8%
57%
623 1339 3637 100
(103)
B / C
95% / 17%
5930 6166 2907 96
(85)
B
95% / 12%
65%
2383 3786 5827 40
(74)
--
86% / 5%
4625 3926 1065 87
(90)
B
95% / 5%
58%
2468 5012 4159 112
(95)
B / C
95% / 21%
341 5690 4740 123
(100)
B
95% / 5%
85%
5846 5872 2283 62
(67)
B
73% / 5%
4525 1209 2642 94
(89)
B
95% / 5%
67%
175 4499 4403 118
(99)
B
95% / 17%
333 4009 494 140
(126)
B / C
95% / 58%
62%
987 365 4013 140
(118)
B / C
84% / 32%
2935 1153 6193 109
(102)
B / C
95% / 30%
60%
1701 3132 1197 47
(109)
--
95% / 21%
195 245 2341 140
(144)
B
95% / 80%
95%
5006 3128 4945 94
(85)
B
92% / 22%
279 2502 5034 112
(87)
B
87% / 10%
82%
6012 4450 5448 90
(114)
B
95% / 5%
4290 4330 2638 106
(96)
B
95% / 21%
78%
6175 1124 5813 121
(113)
B / C
53% / 39%
623 1023 5855 122
(107)
B
95% / 11%
66%
2468 4740 870 134
(115)
B
95% / 28%
4159 987 6166 146
(129)
B / C
95% / 53%
93%
2439 5872 4403 99
(78)
B
95% / 5%
3637 1701 3683 128
(119)
B / C
95% / 81%
95%
3132 4525 5930 86
(74)
B
94% / 5%
333 2283 4063 99
(108)
B
90% / 33%
90%
5827 2341 1197 80
(72)
B
48% / 6%
6193 245 365 142
(116)
B / C
95% / 41%
73%
5057 2987 2502 67
(97)
--
64% / 13%
1065 2642 4013 87
(91)
B
94% / 11%
56%
341 5243 1209 100
(86)
--
86% / 5%
2907 4450 88 74
(110)
--
95% / 57%
65%
195 6175 538 105
(119)
B
60% / 63%
3539 4330 1124 152
(112)
B
95% / 37%
95%
5006 3018 2935 96
(76)
B
95% / 5%
176 1153 5448 141
(130)
B / C
95% / 84%
93%
932 3786 4384 73
(92)
B
72% / 45%
558 279 5012 156
(105)
B / C
95% / 6%
60%
5690 4945 4009 109
(98)
B
95% / 20%
3926 5813 5846 109
(93)
B
95% / 5%
85%
1339 6012 4625 90
(69)
B
95% / 5%
2638 3128 5034 94
(98)
B
95% / 12%
89%
494 4499 68 136
(124)
B / C
95% / 59%
2383 175 3637 159
(111)
B / C
89% / 49%
95%
4290 2341 4013 77
(73)
B
88% / 5%
870 4063 2502 126
(121)
B
89% / 41%
62%
1209 5930 987 127
(112)
B
95% / 30%
5827 3132 365 143
(86)
B / C
72% / 6%
52%
6175 623 932 88
(84)
B
61% / 31%
5243 3786 2468 94
(81)
B
74% / 6%
95%
4330 333 195 127
(140)
B
95% / 75%
1339 5012 5872 79
(79)
B
95% / 6%
59%
3018 2642 2907 89
(86)
--
95% / 18%
1124 5855 6193 114
(107)
B
95% / 29%
55%
5034 4945 494 124
(110)
B / C
95% / 36%
3539 2935 4290 86
(114)
B
95% / 49%
52%
4450 176 5690 87
(115)
--
95% / 22%
4499 4384 558 142
(134)
B / C
95% / 81%
89%
3926 1197 2439 118
(98)
B / C
95% / 18%
1701 2987 4403 88
(96)
B
80% / 17%
56%
4625 4009 2383 112
(91)
B
81% / 5%
5846 5448 3128 96
(101)
B
95% / 5%
55%
2283 5006 1023 114
(104)
B
95% / 7%
341 3683 6012 129
(115)
B / C
95% / 35%
61%
2638 6166 88 94
(106)
B
95% / 31%
1153 1065 4525 131
(113)
B / C
95% / 38%
85%
245 68 538 125
(89)
B
88% / 5%
5057 5813 4740 87
(86)
B
61% / 5%
77%
4159 279 175 114
(112)
B
87% / 15%
2341 5872 3786 89
(58)
B
68% / 5%
85%
1209 623 4290 97
(82)
B
95% / 5%
1124 2987 4013 130
(94)
B
76% / 6%
60%
5930 4499 5690 74
(89)
B
95% / 12%
3018 5243 365 107
(96)
B
88% / 9%
75%
3926 4450 1023 90
(116)
B
95% / 19%
2383 932 5006 102
(87)
B / C
86% / 5%
52%
5012 6193 6012 90
(85)
B
95% / 5%
3637 5846 2935 90
(101)
B / C
95% / 10%
95%
195 987 1065 145
(181)
B
95% / 95%
88 4945 2439 91
(104)
B
95% / 43%
72%
5813 2642 4063 120
(119)
B / C
95% / 43%
4330 1197 538 95
(78)
B
90% / 8%
88%
3683 3128 2502 138
(111)
B / C
82% / 78%
68 4159 5827 67
(85)
--
46% / 5%
83%
341 5855 1701 120
(111)
B / C
77% / 14%
176 1339 6175 111
(104)
B / C
65% / 50%
52%
5034 4525 870 98
(105)
B
95% / 5%
2907 4625 4384 91
(96)
B
93% / 35%
59%
4740 333 279 102
(102)
B
95% / 7%
558 245 3132 134
(127)
B / C
95% / 37%
76%
4403 494 2283 111
(106)
B
93% / 30%
2468 1153 4009 92
(129)
B
95% / 95%
86%
6166 5057 175 110
(100)
B
72% / 5%
3539 195 5872 159
(125)
B / C
95% / 41%
58%
5448 2638 3683 132
(130)
B / C
95% / 78%
4450 5012 3128 91
(96)
B
89% / 18%
57%
5813 3786 2987 122
(102)
B / C
80% / 18%
176 88 1065 116
(109)
B
91% / 49%
80%
5006 5855 4330 77
(88)
B
95% / 7%
5827 4525 2935 90
(80)
B
85% / 5%
71%
5243 4384 4740 83
(91)
B
95% / 5%
279 987 4499 91
(139)
B
95% / 57%
72%
6193 341 623 105
(119)
B
95% / 27%
6012 245 175 90
(118)
--
95% / 16%
52%
1124 3132 4063 137
(119)
B / C
95% / 30%
3637 5690 2439 121
(113)
B
95% / 50%
89%
4625 2638 538 99
(85)
B
95% / 5%
870 2341 1153 121
(114)
B
95% / 44%
67%
3539 365 5846 152
(128)
B / C
95% / 37%
6175 3018 1197 105
(79)
B
47% / 23%
85%
4013 4403 5057 71
(55)
B
63% / 5%
1339 1023 2502 122
(120)
B
88% / 38%
54%
2383 494 4159 102
(117)
B
76% / 47%
2283 5448 3926 106
(97)
B
95% / 5%
73%
6166 4009 68 107
(110)
B
95% / 27%
1209 2468 2907 117
(96)
B / C
91% / 29%
56%
4945 1701 932 98
(92)
B
86% / 40%
5034 2642 333 87
(100)
--
95% / 10%
68%
558 5930 4290 129
(110)
B
95% / 29%
3683 2341 4740 105
(107)
B / C
95% / 25%
52%
1124 5243 5012 73
(106)
--
95% / 6%
987 2987 175 147
(149)
B / C
95% / 77%
67%
195 176 6012 142
(133)
B / C
95% / 49%
5855 2935 6175 112
(85)
B
78% / 19%
77%
4625 4063 3128 98
(98)
B
95% / 7%
1065 3539 4384 126
(127)
B / C
95% / 64%
85%
3786 2502 3132 75
(90)
B
72% / 14%
3018 5846 623 101
(80)
B
93% / 5%
81%
4525 6166 4945 101
(101)
B
95% / 6%
1339 245 2638 87
(115)
B
95% / 35%
63%
5448 558 5827 142
(122)
B / C
78% / 8%
5813 932 5930 120
(97)
B / C
95% / 37%
88%
5872 341 494 137
(124)
B
89% / 43%
5034 538 2383 81
(80)
B
90% / 5%
94%
365 2468 2283 122
(129)
B
90% / 65%
4159 4499 88 115
(84)
B
92% / 15%
81%
1153 333 2907 116
(109)
B / C
95% / 57%
4450 2642 5006 113
(93)
B / C
89% / 12%
74%
4009 1197 3637 100
(112)
B
95% / 53%
1023 68 4403 135
(110)
B / C
95% / 24%
85%
4013 4330 279 83
(76)
B
95% / 5%
4290 870 2439 148
(120)
B / C
95% / 46%
95%
5057 3926 1701 92
(76)
B
82% / 5%
6193 5690 3128 90
(90)
B / C
95% / 15%
72%
1209 4384 6166 88
(100)
B
95% / 11%
2383 4740 6175 108
(90)
B
69% / 5%
93%
4945 3539 987 110
(139)
B
95% / 71%
4159 932 4625 82
(85)
B
92% / 5%
93%
3018 195 5034 127
(120)
B / C
95% / 33%
4450 4063 558 109
(135)
B
90% / 53%
76%
4499 5846 3683 120
(111)
B / C
95% / 53%
4330 341 3132 125
(109)
B / C
95% / 19%
62%
1339 2341 2987 99
(100)
B / C
95% / 14%
3926 333 2502 107
(104)
B
94% / 19%
72%
623 175 2638 110
(118)
B
95% / 16%
4525 4013 2283 72
(75)
B
95% / 5%
83%
5855 6012 2439 109
(93)
B
95% / 5%
68 5243 1197 95
(87)
B
74% / 8%
76%
88 4290 2468 80
(106)
--
95% / 58%
5057 176 5012 93
(92)
B
73% / 5%
58%
5827 1209 3637 66
(86)
B
87% / 5%
5690 2642 1023 128
(114)
B / C
95% / 14%
67%
1153 245 5813 145
(125)
B / C
95% / 80%
494 1701 5006 149
(120)
B / C
95% / 57%
93%
3786 279 538 88
(74)
B
95% / 5%
5930 1124 1065 138
(113)
B
93% / 22%
71%
365 5448 4403 147
(131)
B
95% / 39%
6193 5872 2907 89
(82)
B
95% / 17%
94%
870 2935 4009 111
(114)
B
95% / 31%

Ranking Predictions (?)

Remember, ranking predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Predictions will update throughout the event.

Predicted rankings as of qualification match #125

Predicted Rank Team Average Rank Highest Rank Median Rank Lowest Rank Average RP Highest RP Lowest RP
1 195 1.0 1 1 1 34.0 34 34
2 3683 2.0 2 2 2 34.0 34 34
3 365 3.0 3 3 3 32.0 32 32
4 987 4.0 4 4 4 31.0 31 31
5 3539 5.0 5 5 5 31.0 31 31
6 341 6.0 6 6 6 31.0 31 31
7 5813 7.0 7 7 7 30.0 30 30
8 558 8.0 8 8 8 29.0 29 29
9 494 9.0 9 9 9 28.0 28 28
10 333 10.0 10 10 10 28.0 28 28
11 2987 11.0 11 11 11 28.0 28 28
12 176 12.0 12 12 12 28.0 28 28
13 1153 13.0 13 13 13 27.0 27 27
14 175 14.0 14 14 14 26.0 26 26
15 4499 15.0 15 15 15 26.0 26 26
16 6166 16.0 16 16 16 26.0 26 26
17 6175 17.0 17 17 17 25.0 25 25
18 5006 18.0 18 18 18 25.0 25 25
19 2468 19.0 19 19 19 25.0 25 25
20 245 20.0 20 20 20 24.0 24 24
21 2439 21.0 21 21 21 24.0 24 24
22 1701 22.0 22 22 22 24.0 24 24
23 2935 23.0 23 23 23 24.0 24 24
24 4384 24.0 24 24 24 24.0 24 24
25 3132 25.0 25 25 25 23.0 23 23
26 68 26.0 26 26 26 23.0 23 23
27 1065 27.0 27 27 27 23.0 23 23
28 1023 28.0 28 28 28 23.0 23 23
29 4063 29.0 29 29 29 23.0 23 23
30 1339 30.0 30 30 30 23.0 23 23
31 279 31.0 31 31 31 23.0 23 23
32 1124 32.0 32 32 32 23.0 23 23
33 3637 33.0 33 33 33 22.0 22 22
34 5846 34.0 34 34 34 22.0 22 22
35 4290 35.0 35 35 35 22.0 22 22
36 4009 36.0 36 36 36 21.0 21 21
37 4525 37.0 37 37 37 21.0 21 21
38 5690 38.0 38 38 38 21.0 21 21
39 2642 39.0 39 39 39 21.0 21 21
40 3128 40.0 40 40 40 21.0 21 21
41 4159 41.0 41 41 41 21.0 21 21
42 6193 42.0 42 42 42 21.0 21 21
43 4740 43.0 43 43 43 21.0 21 21
44 5448 44.0 44 44 44 20.0 20 20
45 623 45.0 45 45 45 20.0 20 20
46 870 46.0 46 46 46 20.0 20 20
47 5930 47.0 47 47 47 20.0 20 20
48 2502 48.0 48 48 48 20.0 20 20
49 5243 49.0 49 49 49 20.0 20 20
50 2907 50.0 50 50 50 20.0 20 20
51 1209 51.0 51 51 51 20.0 20 20
52 1197 52.0 52 52 52 19.0 19 19
53 5034 53.0 53 53 53 19.0 19 19
54 5827 54.0 54 54 54 19.0 19 19
55 4403 55.0 55 55 55 19.0 19 19
56 2283 56.0 56 56 56 18.0 18 18
57 5855 57.0 57 57 57 18.0 18 18
58 5057 58.0 58 58 58 18.0 18 18
59 932 59.0 59 59 59 18.0 18 18
60 4450 60.0 60 60 60 18.0 18 18
61 2383 61.0 61 61 61 17.0 17 17
62 4945 62.0 62 62 62 17.0 17 17
63 2341 63.0 63 63 63 17.0 17 17
64 3018 64.0 64 64 64 17.0 17 17
65 5012 65.0 65 65 65 17.0 17 17
66 2638 66.0 66 66 66 16.0 16 16
67 4330 67.0 67 67 67 16.0 16 16
68 88 68.0 68 68 68 16.0 16 16
69 538 69.0 69 69 69 16.0 16 16
70 6012 70.0 70 70 70 15.0 15 15
71 3786 71.0 71 71 71 15.0 15 15
72 3926 72.0 72 72 72 15.0 15 15
73 5872 73.0 73 73 73 14.0 14 14
74 4625 74.0 74 74 74 14.0 14 14
75 4013 75.0 75 75 75 14.0 14 14

Playoff Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 56%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 100%

Match score prediction average error: 36.1

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Quarterfinals
195 1197 987 245
(200)
B / C
95% / 81%
86%
245 176 2987 135
(159)
B
81% / 76%
195 1197 987 217
(209)
B / C
95% / 86%
93%
245 176 2642 130
(151)
B
89% / 58%
3539 175 4009 194
(160)
B / C
90% / 56%
67%
2468 5813 1153 192
(174)
B / C
95% / 94%
3539 175 4009 175
(166)
B / C
91% / 63%
63%
2468 5813 1153 175
(177)
B
95% / 93%
341 3683 2383 188
(175)
B / C
92% / 84%
57%
1023 333 5448 190
(168)
B / C
95% / 43%
341 3683 2383 185
(177)
B / C
94% / 85%
57%
1023 333 5448 145
(171)
B
95% / 48%
341 3683 2383 191
(178)
B / C
94% / 86%
62%
1023 333 5448 105
(168)
B
95% / 45%
365 1124 870 185
(194)
B
95% / 75%
55%
494 558 2502 202
(190)
B / C
90% / 80%
365 1124 870 136
(196)
--
95% / 76%
55%
494 558 2502 170
(192)
B / C
90% / 82%
Semifinals
195 1197 987 197
(210)
B / C
95% / 88%
92%
3539 175 623 141
(158)
B
95% / 42%
195 1065 987 145
(214)
B
95% / 86%
94%
3539 175 623 137
(156)
B
95% / 41%
341 3683 2383 156
(180)
B
94% / 88%
58%
494 558 2502 187
(187)
B / C
91% / 81%
341 3683 2383 218
(179)
B / C
95% / 84%
58%
494 558 2502 174
(186)
B / C
91% / 82%
341 3683 2383 153
(184)
B
95% / 87%
50%
494 558 2502 176
(184)
B / C
91% / 83%
Finals
195 1197 987 252
(204)
B / C
95% / 84%
72%
494 558 2502 142
(182)
B
91% / 82%
195 1197 987 180
(210)
B
95% / 86%
77%
494 558 2502 0
(180)
B / C
91% / 82%