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Newton Division 2016

Advanced Insights

Qualification Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 73%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 86%

Match score prediction average error: 17.2

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Qualifications
3937 5150 3314 127
(133)
B / C
95% / 70%
74%
5499 5172 5686 115
(110)
B
91% / 11%
3481 3663 1700 121
(102)
B / C
95% / 19%
53%
6072 5885 4678 73
(100)
--
95% / 12%
126 5124 2393 124
(126)
B / C
95% / 61%
95%
4744 1143 5900 97
(84)
B
95% / 5%
1241 1764 48 120
(127)
B / C
95% / 63%
71%
3309 3574 179 71
(140)
--
95% / 59%
217 5914 4146 116
(90)
B / C
77% / 9%
53%
1676 16 5832 97
(92)
B
84% / 14%
254 2081 3288 141
(140)
B / C
95% / 53%
67%
1640 3504 67 144
(126)
B
95% / 53%
708 2035 118 112
(134)
B / C
95% / 52%
94%
5450 2614 6220 77
(96)
--
85% / 5%
125 1519 2147 152
(140)
B
91% / 82%
73%
188 3284 3476 144
(121)
B / C
93% / 52%
1710 6167 1731 133
(85)
B
91% / 21%
69%
2102 3360 4242 85
(98)
B
95% / 19%
5851 3961 1296 49
(86)
--
55% / 5%
86%
3620 103 1477 132
(117)
B / C
72% / 75%
4613 5039 5505 104
(105)
B
94% / 5%
54%
4561 122 1311 93
(102)
B
95% / 24%
4276 5274 1418 96
(105)
B
95% / 22%
89%
4550 5817 4122 82
(74)
B
56% / 5%
5818 4001 3663 104
(121)
B
95% / 42%
65%
229 5150 126 103
(114)
B / C
95% / 85%
179 5499 1676 145
(83)
B / C
91% / 7%
81%
188 5900 3504 94
(99)
B / C
95% / 5%
4744 1764 254 149
(122)
B / C
95% / 44%
56%
3360 3314 2614 144
(118)
B / C
83% / 27%
1700 4146 1143 94
(93)
B
95% / 10%
76%
5686 67 2035 127
(110)
B / C
95% / 5%
48 1296 4613 110
(106)
B
92% / 16%
55%
4242 5914 5172 140
(110)
B / C
95% / 40%
3284 4122 2102 72
(94)
B
95% / 5%
93%
6072 3288 6220 67
(63)
B
59% / 5%
6167 4678 122 111
(113)
B
95% / 31%
74%
3309 3961 217 88
(90)
B
52% / 25%
1477 16 4276 99
(125)
B
95% / 71%
60%
5039 5274 118 100
(118)
B
93% / 14%
5124 229 3937 97
(111)
B
95% / 6%
83%
4561 2081 3620 145
(133)
B / C
94% / 45%
708 5885 3476 111
(115)
B
87% / 64%
53%
4550 1241 1710 115
(118)
B
89% / 53%
1519 5832 2393 129
(109)
B / C
82% / 49%
67%
1418 5851 5505 92
(119)
B
92% / 46%
1311 1731 3574 89
(95)
B
95% / 24%
78%
5818 5817 125 117
(119)
B
71% / 42%
5450 3481 103 103
(104)
B
69% / 45%
65%
2147 4001 1640 135
(116)
B / C
91% / 24%
1296 5274 2035 114
(84)
B
79% / 5%
64%
1764 3663 5499 95
(95)
B
85% / 9%
3309 5172 118 210
(168)
B / C
95% / 86%
95%
188 5124 2102 74
(95)
B
95% / 8%
217 16 5150 157
(132)
B / C
95% / 86%
95%
3961 2081 1700 83
(67)
B
66% / 5%
3314 4550 48 122
(107)
B
86% / 8%
79%
5900 67 2614 123
(129)
B / C
95% / 48%
1418 3288 1731 110
(121)
B
95% / 41%
65%
179 4613 1477 145
(110)
B / C
89% / 31%
3504 122 5817 136
(96)
B / C
92% / 29%
87%
3481 2393 229 157
(115)
B / C
95% / 37%
4561 6167 1640 125
(107)
B
82% / 22%
87%
3574 1519 3620 157
(139)
B
95% / 77%
5832 4744 4276 88
(75)
B
72% / 5%
75%
3476 103 6072 79
(95)
--
66% / 14%
1676 4146 4001 109
(107)
B / C
95% / 44%
77%
3284 5851 1311 96
(85)
B
95% / 5%
5450 1710 5686 96
(97)
B
95% / 45%
79%
4678 125 5039 157
(119)
B / C
95% / 5%
1143 5505 5914 129
(102)
B / C
95% / 19%
95%
254 1241 6220 165
(149)
B / C
95% / 71%
708 4122 3360 108
(98)
B / C
95% / 5%
78%
5818 3937 2147 113
(114)
B
95% / 28%
4242 5885 5124 110
(89)
B / C
95% / 9%
92%
126 1477 3314 164
(130)
B / C
92% / 77%
3574 1418 118 115
(131)
B / C
95% / 53%
92%
3961 4744 3481 69
(84)
--
80% / 8%
3476 4146 3309 144
(128)
B / C
80% / 55%
59%
5900 3620 1731 120
(134)
B
95% / 74%
179 5150 2614 150
(126)
B / C
93% / 60%
73%
122 1640 103 124
(109)
B / C
72% / 53%
217 5686 254 112
(154)
B
95% / 93%
95%
5851 5274 188 96
(84)
B
80% / 7%
1676 2147 1241 140
(137)
B
95% / 82%
95%
4276 3288 1700 56
(95)
--
95% / 13%
229 5450 5914 89
(93)
B
93% / 25%
73%
1311 5885 4122 104
(76)
B
94% / 5%
16 1143 5817 129
(121)
B / C
94% / 41%
68%
708 3663 4561 155
(110)
B / C
95% / 40%
6072 67 1710 122
(106)
B / C
69% / 37%
91%
5172 126 4613 102
(148)
B
89% / 95%
3504 5832 1764 92
(80)
B
87% / 5%
77%
6167 5818 3284 117
(102)
B
95% / 11%
2081 4242 125 108
(134)
B
95% / 61%
77%
4001 5505 5499 125
(113)
B
94% / 17%
2102 4678 2393 127
(120)
B
95% / 31%
72%
3937 48 2035 137
(101)
B / C
95% / 5%
1296 1519 5039 113
(129)
B
95% / 55%
95%
6220 4550 3360 112
(81)
B
84% / 5%
1676 217 3620 149
(139)
B / C
95% / 70%
65%
3314 118 5817 140
(154)
B
73% / 88%
1640 188 3961 110
(84)
B
67% / 19%
64%
5124 6072 5914 82
(76)
--
67% / 5%
2614 126 4561 99
(122)
--
91% / 61%
77%
3504 5274 4146 82
(98)
B
95% / 23%
5900 125 4613 112
(105)
B
90% / 27%
78%
5832 254 3481 151
(133)
B
70% / 70%
3663 1241 1418 139
(142)
B / C
95% / 76%
93%
103 3937 4242 118
(99)
B / C
69% / 34%
2393 5885 3284 98
(124)
B
95% / 54%
59%
1731 1296 3309 125
(133)
B
95% / 56%
5150 2035 1710 111
(112)
B / C
95% / 63%
79%
5851 3288 6167 92
(83)
B
64% / 14%
4744 4550 5505 85
(104)
--
93% / 5%
92%
4001 16 4678 162
(144)
B / C
95% / 82%
4276 122 5172 158
(130)
B / C
95% / 64%
76%
2081 5450 5818 57
(105)
--
95% / 10%
5499 67 6220 105
(115)
--
95% / 12%
56%
1764 2147 1477 92
(111)
B
94% / 52%
5686 1311 2102 68
(70)
B
95% / 5%
95%
708 1519 179 212
(148)
B / C
95% / 84%
4122 1143 5039 94
(91)
B
95% / 5%
83%
48 3476 3574 109
(113)
B / C
90% / 40%
1700 3360 118 117
(131)
B
93% / 55%
92%
229 5851 5900 79
(81)
B
86% / 13%
3663 4550 217 152
(109)
B / C
83% / 15%
87%
1640 125 2393 95
(152)
B
95% / 80%
2614 16 3620 227
(151)
B / C
95% / 89%
89%
3288 4678 4242 134
(121)
B / C
95% / 53%
6220 3937 4146 111
(100)
B
83% / 6%
82%
4001 5124 122 132
(122)
B / C
95% / 54%
6072 5832 3314 89
(84)
B
22% / 5%
95%
2081 1241 179 175
(153)
B / C
92% / 70%
5450 1311 1477 89
(91)
--
95% / 10%
95%
6167 254 3476 160
(154)
B / C
84% / 80%
5274 4613 3574 107
(74)
B
93% / 5%
89%
708 2147 2102 104
(101)
B
95% / 31%
3360 5885 3481 105
(116)
B
95% / 51%
59%
1676 67 4276 139
(123)
B / C
93% / 49%
3309 1519 229 157
(143)
B
95% / 74%
94%
5499 1710 1143 98
(101)
B
95% / 37%
4561 188 4122 109
(105)
B
93% / 25%
53%
4744 1296 5150 102
(107)
B
86% / 25%
1700 103 5817 77
(81)
B
64% / 12%
79%
5039 3284 126 84
(103)
B
95% / 20%
3504 5686 5818 107
(92)
B
95% / 33%
56%
1418 2035 5914 136
(96)
B / C
95% / 31%
1731 5172 48 195
(146)
B / C
95% / 80%
95%
1764 3961 5505 108
(78)
B
64% / 7%
179 5124 5851 155
(122)
B / C
87% / 40%
74%
3663 5450 4276 114
(100)
B / C
91% / 21%
3574 2614 6072 86
(76)
--
60% / 5%
95%
5499 2393 16 157
(127)
B / C
94% / 54%
1143 1311 1640 71
(108)
B
95% / 27%
61%
118 1296 5832 136
(115)
B / C
75% / 19%
5274 4744 2102 69
(73)
--
84% / 5%
95%
67 229 1241 180
(158)
B / C
95% / 88%
6220 4678 3476 112
(131)
B
94% / 29%
81%
1676 5150 4613 118
(105)
B / C
95% / 47%
1764 3481 2081 83
(110)
B
92% / 20%
76%
126 3620 4122 140
(132)
B / C
93% / 61%
2147 5686 5505 98
(112)
B
95% / 51%
83%
6167 5817 5885 83
(88)
B
93% / 11%
5039 4001 3288 86
(98)
B
95% / 5%
95%
1418 5172 3314 171
(163)
B
95% / 82%
4242 3961 3284 106
(85)
B
93% / 10%
95%
4550 254 708 112
(146)
B
93% / 79%
1477 188 5818 95
(108)
B
90% / 51%
57%
4146 48 1710 127
(113)
B / C
95% / 72%
3504 1731 3937 139
(128)
B / C
95% / 58%
53%
217 1700 1519 134
(132)
B
95% / 53%
3360 5914 3309 115
(118)
B / C
95% / 37%
51%
103 4561 125 117
(118)
C
73% / 53%
2035 122 6072 93
(92)
B
72% / 22%
63%
5900 1676 5274 80
(83)
B
93% / 5%
5851 1640 4678 142
(121)
B / C
95% / 39%
90%
126 1764 2102 122
(78)
B / C
94% / 6%
3284 1418 67 171
(143)
B / C
95% / 66%
89%
5150 5450 5505 119
(113)
B / C
89% / 50%
48 5499 3288 75
(102)
--
88% / 8%
75%
5832 5817 5124 67
(88)
B
76% / 10%
4242 1296 179 143
(141)
B
95% / 77%
62%
3476 229 217 150
(130)
B / C
83% / 49%
103 6167 4550 87
(82)
B
66% / 5%
69%
4613 2081 1143 136
(100)
B
94% / 7%
708 1731 2393 112
(135)
B
95% / 81%
80%
4001 4276 5914 109
(105)
B
93% / 42%
6220 16 3314 136
(141)
B
91% / 48%
72%
1710 3504 125 99
(125)
B / C
95% / 71%
188 2035 3620 134
(141)
B
95% / 72%
73%
1311 3360 1241 170
(125)
B / C
95% / 47%
5900 1477 1700 84
(77)
B
95% / 5%
95%
5172 4561 3574 157
(132)
B / C
95% / 62%
2147 3663 3961 94
(96)
B
81% / 31%
66%
4146 4744 5686 112
(86)
B
80% / 6%
2614 3309 5818 97
(119)
B
82% / 29%
61%
5039 3937 3481 107
(112)
B
95% / 19%
5885 1519 254 140
(162)
B / C
95% / 95%
78%
118 122 4122 139
(138)
B
95% / 73%
3504 48 6167 101
(110)
B
95% / 28%
67%
1296 125 6072 115
(99)
B
57% / 11%
3314 4276 188 101
(122)
B / C
95% / 54%
69%
4678 3284 1143 172
(136)
B / C
95% / 25%
5450 3360 4001 148
(115)
B / C
89% / 39%
81%
3574 5832 217 136
(90)
B / C
86% / 27%
1676 5686 103 90
(87)
B
84% / 30%
75%
1731 4550 5124 155
(107)
B / C
91% / 9%
3620 5818 5274 144
(123)
B / C
87% / 20%
94%
1700 6220 2393 70
(84)
B
92% / 5%
3309 4122 5505 104
(116)
B
93% / 15%
59%
3663 1640 1477 160
(123)
B / C
95% / 59%
3476 67 5817 137
(147)
B
85% / 72%
87%
5914 122 3937 100
(120)
--
95% / 56%
4146 1764 5039 74
(88)
B
95% / 11%
95%
4242 5150 1519 136
(141)
B / C
95% / 95%
5851 2081 4744 87
(91)
--
76% / 5%
73%
3481 708 3288 139
(111)
B / C
95% / 59%
1241 4561 4613 120
(146)
B
94% / 82%
93%
118 3961 5499 125
(100)
B
53% / 23%
229 179 254 162
(169)
B / C
95% / 88%
51%
16 5172 2035 112
(170)
--
95% / 90%
126 2147 1710 86
(107)
B
95% / 75%
51%
1311 1418 2614 106
(106)
B
95% / 24%
5900 5885 103 87
(71)
B
82% / 9%
82%
2102 5818 217 145
(102)
B / C
74% / 24%
67 3663 5832 107
(138)
B
95% / 59%
85%
5039 1731 188 114
(103)
B / C
95% / 23%
3476 5124 5150 132
(131)
B / C
94% / 83%
65%
3360 5505 5274 120
(119)
B
89% / 25%
4550 4561 3288 78
(98)
B
85% / 8%
77%
5450 1764 6072 71
(74)
--
57% / 6%
5817 2035 1477 80
(98)
B
87% / 23%
92%
4613 4001 1519 145
(143)
B / C
95% / 73%
3961 2393 1676 106
(87)
B
90% / 25%
91%
4122 179 1710 155
(124)
B / C
95% / 55%
1640 3314 229 142
(133)
B / C
94% / 56%
84%
708 4146 6167 111
(108)
B
95% / 36%
3284 1241 16 128
(169)
B / C
95% / 88%
95%
48 3481 5686 90
(115)
B
95% / 46%
6220 4242 3504 87
(92)
B
95% / 19%
51%
1311 4744 3309 106
(92)
B
89% / 5%
122 2102 5499 130
(93)
B / C
91% / 7%
95%
1700 3620 1418 98
(130)
B
95% / 59%
3937 1296 126 117
(120)
B / C
95% / 50%
56%
3574 4276 254 167
(125)
B / C
95% / 73%
5172 125 2614 167
(159)
B
86% / 76%
95%
5885 1143 5851 99
(93)
B
95% / 20%
118 5914 5900 101
(117)
B
95% / 58%
61%
4678 2081 2147 130
(127)
B
95% / 40%

Ranking Predictions (?)

Remember, ranking predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Predictions will update throughout the event.

Predicted rankings as of qualification match #125

Predicted Rank Team Average Rank Highest Rank Median Rank Lowest Rank Average RP Highest RP Lowest RP
1 1241 1.0 1 1 1 35.0 35 35
2 254 2.0 2 2 2 35.0 35 35
3 1519 3.0 3 3 3 33.0 33 33
4 67 4.0 4 4 4 33.0 33 33
5 179 5.0 5 5 5 33.0 33 33
6 5150 6.0 6 6 6 33.0 33 33
7 4001 7.0 7 7 7 32.0 32 32
8 217 8.0 8 8 8 31.0 31 31
9 3620 9.0 9 9 9 30.0 30 30
10 5172 10.0 10 10 10 28.0 28 28
11 118 11.0 11 11 11 28.0 28 28
12 1418 12.0 12 12 12 28.0 28 28
13 229 13.0 13 13 13 28.0 28 28
14 3663 14.0 14 14 14 28.0 28 28
15 2035 15.0 15 15 15 28.0 28 28
16 1731 16.0 16 16 16 28.0 28 28
17 3476 17.0 17 17 17 27.0 27 27
18 1640 18.0 18 18 18 27.0 27 27
19 1676 19.0 19 19 19 27.0 27 27
20 16 20.0 20 20 20 27.0 27 27
21 708 21.0 21 21 21 27.0 27 27
22 1710 22.0 22 22 22 27.0 27 27
23 4678 23.0 23 23 23 26.0 26 26
24 48 24.0 24 24 24 26.0 26 26
25 4561 25.0 25 25 25 26.0 26 26
26 5039 26.0 26 26 26 26.0 26 26
27 3284 27.0 27 27 27 26.0 26 26
28 3314 28.0 28 28 28 25.0 25 25
29 5499 29.0 29 29 29 25.0 25 25
30 3574 30.0 30 30 30 25.0 25 25
31 126 31.0 31 31 31 25.0 25 25
32 5124 32.0 32 32 32 25.0 25 25
33 4613 33.0 33 33 33 25.0 25 25
34 125 34.0 34 34 34 24.0 24 24
35 4276 35.0 35 35 35 24.0 24 24
36 3937 36.0 36 36 36 24.0 24 24
37 4146 37.0 37 37 37 24.0 24 24
38 2393 38.0 38 38 38 24.0 24 24
39 122 39.0 39 39 39 24.0 24 24
40 2147 40.0 40 40 40 23.0 23 23
41 2614 41.0 41 41 41 23.0 23 23
42 4122 42.0 42 42 42 23.0 23 23
43 5818 43.0 43 43 43 23.0 23 23
44 3309 44.0 44 44 44 22.0 22 22
45 3481 45.0 45 45 45 22.0 22 22
46 4550 46.0 46 46 46 21.0 21 21
47 1296 47.0 47 47 47 21.0 21 21
48 3360 48.0 48 48 48 21.0 21 21
49 1477 49.0 49 49 49 21.0 21 21
50 5832 50.0 50 50 50 21.0 21 21
51 5274 51.0 51 51 51 20.0 20 20
52 188 52.0 52 52 52 20.0 20 20
53 2081 53.0 53 53 53 19.0 19 19
54 4242 54.0 54 54 54 19.0 19 19
55 6167 55.0 55 55 55 19.0 19 19
56 5686 56.0 56 56 56 19.0 19 19
57 5914 57.0 57 57 57 19.0 19 19
58 2102 58.0 58 58 58 18.0 18 18
59 3504 59.0 59 59 59 18.0 18 18
60 1311 60.0 60 60 60 18.0 18 18
61 1143 61.0 61 61 61 17.0 17 17
62 3288 62.0 62 62 62 17.0 17 17
63 5505 63.0 63 63 63 17.0 17 17
64 5817 64.0 64 64 64 16.0 16 16
65 1764 65.0 65 65 65 16.0 16 16
66 103 66.0 66 66 66 16.0 16 16
67 6220 67.0 67 67 67 15.0 15 15
68 4744 68.0 68 68 68 15.0 15 15
69 5885 69.0 69 69 69 15.0 15 15
70 5900 70.0 70 70 70 14.0 14 14
71 1700 71.0 71 71 71 14.0 14 14
72 5851 72.0 72 72 72 14.0 14 14
73 6072 73.0 73 73 73 12.0 12 12
74 3961 74.0 74 74 74 12.0 12 12
75 5450 75.0 75 75 75 11.0 11 11

Playoff Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 63%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 78%

Match score prediction average error: 25.9

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Quarterfinals
254 1241 708 245
(220)
B / C
95% / 95%
88%
3663 3314 1418 111
(179)
--
95% / 75%
254 1241 1731 245
(232)
B / C
95% / 95%
95%
1418 3314 229 144
(160)
B
94% / 57%
3937 179 3620 205
(218)
B / C
95% / 86%
92%
5150 125 1640 187
(174)
B / C
95% / 81%
3937 179 3620 141
(213)
B
95% / 82%
89%
5150 125 1640 187
(174)
B / C
95% / 78%
3937 179 3620 185
(204)
B / C
95% / 81%
78%
5150 125 1640 177
(175)
B / C
95% / 76%
118 1519 3309 190
(212)
B / C
95% / 94%
59%
3476 4678 217 260
(204)
B / C
95% / 81%
118 1519 1676 177
(204)
B
95% / 95%
61%
3476 4678 217 220
(215)
B / C
95% / 86%
67 5172 3481 250
(221)
B / C
95% / 93%
89%
2614 16 4001 151
(179)
B
90% / 75%
67 5172 3481 202
(227)
B / C
95% / 94%
93%
2614 16 4001 190
(176)
B / C
92% / 71%
Semifinals
254 1241 708 242
(227)
B / C
95% / 95%
77%
3937 179 3620 70
(199)
--
95% / 77%
254 1241 708 0
(230)
B / C
95% / 95%
80%
3360 179 3620 162
(199)
B
91% / 80%
254 1241 708 210
(199)
B / C
95% / 95%
53%
3360 179 3620 170
(197)
B
91% / 76%
4678 3476 217 225
(214)
B / C
95% / 84%
52%
67 5172 1477 219
(216)
B / C
95% / 90%
4678 3476 217 205
(215)
B / C
95% / 82%
51%
67 5172 1477 180
(216)
B
95% / 92%
Finals
254 1241 708 177
(201)
B
95% / 95%
63%
4678 3476 217 197
(213)
B / C
95% / 80%
254 1241 1731 180
(222)
B
95% / 95%
61%
4678 3476 217 225
(211)
B / C
95% / 79%