The Blue Alliance

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Tesla Division 2016

Advanced Insights

Qualification Match Predictions (?)

Remember, ranking predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 74%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 94%

Match score prediction average error: 15.1

Match Red Alliance Blue Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)		 Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)		 Win/Loss
Prediction
Confidence		 Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Qualifications
Quals 1
5114 66 1099 3560 4468 5053 124
(112) 		72
(93) 		B
68% / 46% 		B
78% / 45%
63%
Quals 2
2834 4391 2054 177 433 5854 152
(140) 		50
(116) 		B / C
76% / 53% 		--
66% / 24%
66%
Quals 3
1690 5915 3303 2337 5912 74 117
(101) 		106
(106) 		B
75% / 16% 		B
70% / 43%
53%
Quals 4
1860 1250 2522 6134 537 4930 99
(104) 		79
(59) 		B
63% / 51% 		B
37% / 14%
78%
Quals 5
1405 604 5030 5016 6221 5809 66
(76) 		94
(66) 		B
78% / 6% 		B
54% / 18%
57%
Quals 6
5439 2194 6171 5726 3042 329 91
(90) 		88
(101) 		--
67% / 21% 		B
74% / 17%
57%
Quals 7
2451 781 4488 5677 2363 3158 110
(126) 		107
(90) 		B / C
75% / 57% 		B
64% / 31%
74%
Quals 8
3245 1510 1675 111 5437 3130 113
(93) 		162
(148) 		B / C
77% / 41% 		B / C
81% / 63%
83%
Quals 9
2415 3655 4905 1756 3039 2823 71
(122) 		87
(121) 		B
80% / 49% 		B
83% / 49%
51%
Quals 10
5804 181 1622 2619 423 272 78
(73) 		106
(94) 		--
66% / 31% 		B / C
69% / 40%
65%
Quals 11
3238 1806 2783 461 1306 6219 135
(130) 		108
(94) 		B
86% / 45% 		B
66% / 27%
74%
Quals 12
3853 6055 33 540 3015 548 114
(106) 		99
(122) 		B
49% / 44% 		B
81% / 49%
61%
Quals 13
3044 2056 1690 4401 5030 5114 177
(168) 		117
(84) 		B / C
78% / 74% 		B
70% / 10%
93%
Quals 14
3130 433 3042 5912 1250 4930 94
(92) 		93
(93) 		B
47% / 20% 		B
76% / 21%
50%
Quals 15
2522 5016 4468 2834 4905 3158 111
(101) 		142
(109) 		B / C
71% / 81% 		B / C
76% / 32%
56%
Quals 16
2619 5053 6171 111 1860 781 98
(101) 		111
(122) 		B / C
76% / 54% 		B
65% / 76%
64%
Quals 17
2783 1622 2194 3245 6221 2363 97
(85) 		101
(106) 		B
63% / 29% 		B
78% / 47%
65%
Quals 18
5677 2337 1806 3560 3015 3655 118
(116) 		62
(74) 		B / C
85% / 46% 		--
64% / 10%
77%
Quals 19
4488 6219 329 5854 3303 6055 110
(100) 		79
(89) 		B / C
73% / 38% 		B
57% / 12%
58%
Quals 20
272 2056 2451 2054 548 1756 149
(154) 		114
(139) 		B / C
81% / 73% 		B
76% / 63%
61%
Quals 21
5809 1405 540 1099 461 4391 75
(87) 		119
(128) 		B
69% / 19% 		B
75% / 56%
76%
Quals 22
6134 177 1306 604 2415 3044 111
(81) 		114
(101) 		B
42% / 14% 		B
65% / 24%
64%
Quals 23
423 66 74 5437 5726 2823 72
(112) 		109
(86) 		--
65% / 41% 		B
70% / 15%
68%
Quals 24
3039 1510 3238 5439 181 3853 89
(105) 		76
(80) 		B
66% / 48% 		B
63% / 22%
67%
Quals 25
1675 33 537 5915 4401 5804 57
(125) 		75
(78) 		--
70% / 71% 		B
56% / 19%
80%
Quals 26
2194 3015 3303 1690 433 5016 90
(106) 		126
(84) 		B
75% / 48% 		B
45% / 28%
65%
Quals 27
5030 4488 1860 1099 3130 2783 109
(98) 		161
(121) 		B
63% / 42% 		B / C
71% / 53%
66%
Quals 28
3044 6219 5809 1756 5053 4930 102
(87) 		124
(102) 		B
67% / 17% 		B / C
81% / 39%
61%
Quals 29
3158 272 4391 1806 74 1250 84
(116) 		120
(118) 		B
75% / 55% 		B / C
71% / 43%
51%
Quals 30
461 6221 781 329 3039 548 87
(97) 		141
(108) 		B
71% / 46% 		B / C
78% / 48%
58%
Quals 31
4401 3042 177 2363 4905 2619 102
(103) 		82
(114) 		B
66% / 14% 		B
82% / 64%
58%
Quals 32
3245 1306 2823 6171 6055 537 124
(106) 		73
(67) 		B / C
81% / 35% 		B
59% / 5%
76%
Quals 33
4468 5437 1405 2337 1622 5439 116
(120) 		83
(74) 		B / C
81% / 70% 		B
61% / 16%
79%
Quals 34
540 5854 2451 5804 6134 66 122
(105) 		86
(73) 		B
71% / 16% 		B
52% / 23%
71%
Quals 35
111 2834 604 2056 5915 3238 126
(130) 		110
(135) 		B
73% / 54% 		B
71% / 57%
54%
Quals 36
33 2522 181 3853 2054 3560 143
(121) 		99
(79) 		B / C
68% / 54% 		B
47% / 19%
77%
Quals 37
5726 2415 5912 5677 5114 1675 98
(92) 		110
(105) 		--
67% / 34% 		B / C
73% / 43%
59%
Quals 38
423 1510 3042 3655 3303 3044 75
(80) 		90
(95) 		B
71% / 19% 		B
53% / 20%
60%
Quals 39
433 4401 3245 4468 74 548 111
(77) 		132
(123) 		B
62% / 9% 		B / C
72% / 70%
79%
Quals 40
2363 272 1306 5437 3015 4930 86
(94) 		112
(121) 		B
73% / 40% 		B / C
80% / 33%
68%
Quals 41
1250 1690 3238 1756 177 329 135
(133) 		109
(131) 		B
74% / 52% 		B
71% / 50%
51%
Quals 42
540 1099 537 2834 2783 2056 90
(74) 		155
(169) 		B
71% / 9% 		B / C
77% / 83%
95%
Quals 43
6221 5053 6134 5804 4488 5016 72
(75) 		118
(97) 		--
61% / 27% 		B / C
58% / 65%
65%
Quals 44
5809 5912 3853 781 6171 1622 80
(78) 		84
(74) 		--
59% / 15% 		B
57% / 28%
53%
Quals 45
5677 4391 2451 5915 1510 604 150
(123) 		88
(57) 		B / C
79% / 43% 		B
64% / 5%
88%
Quals 46
1860 66 3158 3655 181 1675 84
(107) 		91
(81) 		--
49% / 51% 		B
61% / 32%
68%
Quals 47
3039 1405 111 2522 2054 1806 81
(117) 		112
(140) 		B
63% / 47% 		B
75% / 75%
66%
Quals 48
2194 423 5114 2337 4905 3130 103
(107) 		148
(123) 		B
66% / 54% 		B
76% / 57%
61%
Quals 49
5030 2415 3560 5726 6055 6219 104
(84) 		112
(73) 		B
73% / 21% 		B / C
67% / 17%
58%
Quals 50
5439 2823 461 2619 33 5854 125
(88) 		123
(119) 		B
63% / 15% 		B / C
55% / 48%
71%
Quals 51
6221 537 4468 5912 3303 3238 84
(79) 		93
(91) 		B
64% / 41% 		B
64% / 20%
58%
Quals 52
74 3655 5804 604 781 2783 108
(89) 		61
(90) 		B / C
68% / 29% 		--
72% / 34%
51%
Quals 53
433 5437 1756 3158 1806 6171 115
(91) 		116
(117) 		B
70% / 20% 		B
68% / 55%
68%
Quals 54
3044 272 5915 66 2522 2194 84
(87) 		85
(96) 		B
77% / 19% 		B
65% / 33%
56%
Quals 55
4905 1690 5053 2451 1675 1405 99
(123) 		124
(108) 		B
75% / 66% 		B / C
73% / 53%
61%
Quals 56
1622 5016 6219 33 177 1510 83
(85) 		172
(120) 		B
57% / 29% 		B / C
59% / 35%
73%
Quals 57
3015 5439 4488 2415 423 4391 112
(94) 		100
(115) 		B
60% / 32% 		B
70% / 48%
64%
Quals 58
5809 2619 1250 3039 2056 6055 111
(96) 		117
(118) 		B / C
67% / 42% 		B / C
63% / 40%
65%
Quals 59
4930 4401 3560 111 540 5030 80
(85) 		129
(109) 		B
73% / 9% 		B / C
76% / 42%
66%
Quals 60
5677 1099 548 3130 1306 181 100
(120) 		147
(135) 		B
83% / 53% 		B
73% / 61%
60%
Quals 61
2363 2337 3853 2823 2834 6134 95
(94) 		104
(113) 		B / C
61% / 30% 		B
63% / 30%
63%
Quals 62
3042 1860 2054 5114 3245 461 105
(105) 		151
(148) 		B
62% / 40% 		B / C
83% / 83%
78%
Quals 63
329 5854 4468 5726 1675 1806 118
(107) 		129
(103) 		B / C
65% / 68% 		B / C
61% / 68%
53%
Quals 64
3655 6055 2619 272 433 1405 79
(93) 		88
(59) 		B
73% / 35% 		B
59% / 7%
73%
Quals 65
3303 3560 5809 5439 2783 2451 77
(74) 		124
(127) 		B
60% / 11% 		B
75% / 56%
83%
Quals 66
1250 781 5915 6219 1099 5437 99
(68) 		101
(112) 		B
64% / 18% 		B
80% / 38%
78%
Quals 67
2337 5016 4401 4488 1306 2522 73
(105) 		108
(110) 		B
71% / 40% 		B / C
70% / 53%
54%
Quals 68
5804 2823 548 2194 1860 3044 156
(109) 		103
(105) 		B
74% / 52% 		--
63% / 40%
52%
Quals 69
181 4905 5726 461 604 4930 82
(97) 		117
(105) 		B
71% / 48% 		B
77% / 29%
56%
Quals 70
6134 1756 3015 5030 5912 1510 112
(90) 		72
(92) 		B
75% / 17% 		--
78% / 32%
52%
Quals 71
5114 2363 3039 329 33 4391 118
(104) 		149
(144) 		B
64% / 35% 		B / C
70% / 48%
76%
Quals 72
3853 3245 66 6221 177 2056 103
(102) 		167
(133) 		B
67% / 34% 		B / C
58% / 56%
71%
Quals 73
423 1690 5854 3158 537 111 134
(103) 		80
(92) 		B / C
49% / 49% 		--
58% / 33%
57%
Quals 74
2054 3238 6171 540 1622 5677 137
(116) 		79
(83) 		B
67% / 44% 		--
58% / 15%
72%
Quals 75
74 3130 2834 3042 2415 5053 97
(166) 		113
(91) 		B
72% / 76% 		B / C
74% / 33%
91%
Quals 76
2823 1675 1099 604 3015 2522 141
(107) 		111
(85) 		B / C
68% / 46% 		B
68% / 14%
65%
Quals 77
181 5912 6055 3044 2451 5016 80
(82) 		171
(132) 		B
56% / 25% 		B / C
75% / 62%
81%
Quals 78
3655 4468 461 2194 2056 6134 116
(110) 		152
(117) 		B / C
73% / 61% 		B / C
63% / 40%
54%
Quals 79
1806 2619 4488 5114 1510 537 135
(127) 		103
(88) 		B / C
79% / 72% 		B
73% / 20%
76%
Quals 80
3039 6219 2337 433 540 3158 105
(88) 		62
(83) 		B / C
75% / 33% 		--
58% / 21%
53%
Quals 81
2363 5726 74 1756 1860 3853 119
(94) 		72
(99) 		B / C
65% / 45% 		--
72% / 26%
54%
Quals 82
5677 2834 329 5804 5437 5809 100
(117) 		67
(109) 		B / C
66% / 51% 		--
69% / 54%
55%
Quals 83
781 3238 3245 1690 272 33 111
(106) 		187
(149) 		B / C
72% / 50% 		B / C
74% / 75%
78%
Quals 84
1250 5053 5439 1306 5030 2054 98
(84) 		150
(114) 		B
65% / 35% 		B / C
68% / 36%
70%
Quals 85
423 4930 177 2783 5915 1405 134
(110) 		106
(85) 		B / C
60% / 46% 		B
71% / 17%
67%
Quals 86
1622 2415 111 3303 4905 66 92
(118) 		93
(81) 		--
65% / 50% 		B
69% / 12%
74%
Quals 87
6171 5854 4391 4401 6221 3130 112
(105) 		117
(109) 		B
65% / 27% 		B
75% / 31%
53%
Quals 88
3560 548 5437 3042 3039 5016 109
(99) 		113
(88) 		B
60% / 34% 		B / C
66% / 28%
58%
Quals 89
604 5804 6219 4468 3853 1690 93
(89) 		152
(136) 		B
67% / 29% 		B / C
82% / 71%
79%
Quals 90
3655 329 540 2522 5912 5053 95
(87) 		107
(76) 		B
64% / 16% 		B
57% / 32%
58%
Quals 91
3245 5726 3044 4488 2834 1250 102
(131) 		118
(122) 		B
75% / 77% 		B / C
68% / 69%
56%
Quals 92
66 537 2415 2363 781 1405 119
(70) 		99
(81) 		B / C
54% / 7% 		B
59% / 25%
57%
Quals 93
177 2823 5030 181 3303 1806 127
(134) 		120
(113) 		B
57% / 42% 		B / C
76% / 38%
64%
Quals 94
3130 3158 3015 2054 5915 2619 102
(131) 		94
(112) 		B
64% / 57% 		B
72% / 40%
63%
Quals 95
111 548 5114 6134 5809 5439 125
(153) 		85
(77) 		B
77% / 78% 		B
66% / 9%
91%
Quals 96
1099 4930 2194 3238 5854 74 98
(119) 		148
(93) 		B
77% / 52% 		B / C
53% / 25%
68%
Quals 97
1756 2783 461 5677 4401 6055 112
(122) 		80
(79) 		B
76% / 49% 		--
72% / 13%
77%
Quals 98
6171 1860 4905 272 3560 1510 95
(95) 		80
(77) 		B
66% / 31% 		B
71% / 25%
62%
Quals 99
2337 2056 4391 1622 3042 1675 151
(151) 		101
(75) 		B / C
73% / 78% 		B
59% / 38%
91%
Quals 100
433 1306 6221 423 33 2451 84
(80) 		132
(152) 		B
56% / 14% 		B
74% / 64%
90%
Quals 101
2054 5726 177 5809 3655 537 87
(129) 		75
(55) 		B
55% / 59% 		B
62% / 2%
90%
Quals 102
1690 1806 2834 548 5439 66 190
(166) 		102
(108) 		B / C
78% / 84% 		B
71% / 31%
85%
Quals 103
3158 4401 3303 5053 1099 3853 82
(79) 		129
(91) 		--
77% / 13% 		B / C
74% / 35%
58%
Quals 104
3044 2823 3130 3560 1405 3238 134
(147) 		116
(86) 		B
62% / 54% 		B
56% / 13%
86%
Quals 105
540 1860 5915 2415 5016 5854 107
(78) 		115
(114) 		B
63% / 14% 		--
54% / 54%
74%
Quals 106
74 1306 1675 3039 6134 1622 137
(112) 		94
(72) 		B / C
64% / 63% 		--
68% / 14%
76%
Quals 107
1756 5030 781 4468 2194 4391 126
(94) 		127
(117) 		B
67% / 31% 		B / C
75% / 73%
66%
Quals 108
5437 2056 4905 33 5912 4488 149
(136) 		127
(122) 		B / C
62% / 65% 		B
60% / 39%
60%
Quals 109
272 3042 111 5677 6221 6219 105
(106) 		83
(88) 		B / C
70% / 46% 		B
62% / 33%
62%
Quals 110
2619 329 2451 2337 3245 4930 137
(135) 		91
(125) 		B / C
80% / 78% 		B
83% / 78%
57%
Quals 111
3015 2783 5114 181 6171 1250 125
(122) 		107
(103) 		B
72% / 51% 		B / C
68% / 35%
63%
Quals 112
433 1510 5804 2522 2363 461 90
(79) 		138
(112) 		B / C
61% / 31% 		B / C
74% / 45%
72%
Quals 113
6055 604 1806 423 1860 5053 100
(104) 		98
(83) 		B
69% / 26% 		B / C
68% / 41%
65%
Quals 114
3130 3303 6134 5726 3039 781 97
(115) 		78
(82) 		B
73% / 30% 		B
67% / 39%
73%
Quals 115
74 33 5439 3044 5677 537 134
(132) 		96
(81) 		B / C
75% / 41% 		B
49% / 18%
81%
Quals 116
177 4468 272 540 2823 4488 122
(116) 		132
(112) 		B / C
73% / 73% 		B
62% / 37%
53%
Quals 117
2056 181 1756 5854 1405 1306 132
(140) 		80
(101) 		B / C
67% / 62% 		--
57% / 29%
76%
Quals 118
1510 2337 1099 2054 5804 2415 111
(109) 		116
(120) 		B / C
80% / 60% 		B / C
63% / 60%
58%
Quals 119
6219 1675 2363 423 6171 548 120
(107) 		102
(107) 		B / C
68% / 54% 		B / C
72% / 34%
50%
Quals 120
5437 2522 2783 1690 4391 2619 130
(118) 		142
(152) 		B
65% / 55% 		B / C
75% / 88%
73%
Quals 121
3042 3238 3015 5809 66 4401 152
(110) 		67
(80) 		B / C
65% / 34% 		--
71% / 10%
70%
Quals 122
5915 1622 4905 329 5030 433 84
(73) 		111
(99) 		B
66% / 11% 		B
62% / 29%
68%
Quals 123
3158 5912 3560 604 2194 3245 78
(68) 		109
(94) 		--
54% / 10% 		B / C
71% / 26%
67%
Quals 124
4930 5114 6055 6221 3655 2834 115
(115) 		127
(94) 		B
78% / 53% 		B / C
68% / 31%
65%
Quals 125
5016 461 3853 111 1250 2451 94
(114) 		122
(139) 		--
66% / 51% 		B
75% / 67%
67%

Ranking Predictions (?)

Remember, ranking predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Predictions will update throughout the event.

Predicted rankings as of qualification match #125

Predicted Rank Team Average Rank Highest Rank Median Rank Lowest Rank Average RP Highest RP Lowest RP
1 2056 1.0 1 1 1 37.0 37 37
2 2451 2.0 2 2 2 36.0 36 36
3 2834 3.0 3 3 3 35.0 35 35
4 1690 4.0 4 4 4 34.0 34 34
5 1806 5.0 5 5 5 34.0 34 34
6 2823 6.0 6 6 6 32.0 32 32
7 4488 7.0 7 7 7 32.0 32 32
8 4391 8.0 8 8 8 30.0 30 30
9 3130 9.0 9 9 9 30.0 30 30
10 1675 10.0 10 10 10 30.0 30 30
11 74 11.0 11 11 11 30.0 30 30
12 33 12.0 12 12 12 29.0 29 29
13 2522 13.0 13 13 13 28.0 28 28
14 329 14.0 14 14 14 28.0 28 28
15 3238 15.0 15 15 15 27.0 27 27
16 4468 16.0 16 16 16 26.0 26 26
17 1099 17.0 17 17 17 26.0 26 26
18 3042 18.0 18 18 18 26.0 26 26
19 5437 19.0 19 19 19 25.0 25 25
20 272 20.0 20 20 20 25.0 25 25
21 177 21.0 21 21 21 25.0 25 25
22 2619 22.0 22 22 22 25.0 25 25
23 2054 23.0 23 23 23 25.0 25 25
24 111 24.0 24 24 24 25.0 25 25
25 3039 25.0 25 25 25 25.0 25 25
26 5016 26.0 26 26 26 24.0 24 24
27 6219 27.0 27 27 27 24.0 24 24
28 1250 28.0 28 28 28 24.0 24 24
29 461 29.0 29 29 29 24.0 24 24
30 3245 30.0 30 30 30 23.0 23 23
31 3015 31.0 31 31 31 23.0 23 23
32 2783 32.0 32 32 32 23.0 23 23
33 2337 33.0 33 33 33 23.0 23 23
34 1306 34.0 34 34 34 23.0 23 23
35 5053 35.0 35 35 35 22.0 22 22
36 423 36.0 36 36 36 22.0 22 22
37 4905 37.0 37 37 37 22.0 22 22
38 5114 38.0 38 38 38 22.0 22 22
39 6171 39.0 39 39 39 22.0 22 22
40 2363 40.0 40 40 40 22.0 22 22
41 5726 41.0 41 41 41 22.0 22 22
42 5804 42.0 42 42 42 22.0 22 22
43 1756 43.0 43 43 43 21.0 21 21
44 181 44.0 44 44 44 21.0 21 21
45 2194 45.0 45 45 45 21.0 21 21
46 3044 46.0 46 46 46 21.0 21 21
47 6221 47.0 47 47 47 21.0 21 21
48 548 48.0 48 48 48 21.0 21 21
49 4930 49.0 49 49 49 21.0 21 21
50 5439 50.0 50 50 50 20.0 20 20
51 2415 51.0 51 51 51 20.0 20 20
52 3303 52.0 52 52 52 20.0 20 20
53 3655 53.0 53 53 53 20.0 20 20
54 5677 54.0 54 54 54 20.0 20 20
55 604 55.0 55 55 55 20.0 20 20
56 5854 56.0 56 56 56 19.0 19 19
57 5030 57.0 57 57 57 19.0 19 19
58 6055 58.0 58 58 58 19.0 19 19
59 433 59.0 59 59 59 17.0 17 17
60 1405 60.0 60 60 60 17.0 17 17
61 1510 61.0 61 61 61 17.0 17 17
62 781 62.0 62 62 62 17.0 17 17
63 6134 63.0 63 63 63 17.0 17 17
64 3853 64.0 64 64 64 16.0 16 16
65 66 65.0 65 65 65 16.0 16 16
66 540 66.0 66 66 66 15.0 15 15
67 1860 67.0 67 67 67 14.0 14 14
68 5915 68.0 68 68 68 14.0 14 14
69 4401 69.0 69 69 69 13.0 13 13
70 3158 70.0 70 70 70 12.0 12 12
71 537 71.0 71 71 71 11.0 11 11
72 5809 72.0 72 72 72 10.0 10 10
73 5912 73.0 73 73 73 10.0 10 10
74 3560 74.0 74 74 74 8.0 8 8
75 1622 75.0 75 75 75 8.0 8 8