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Tesla Division 2016

Advanced Insights

Qualification Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 77%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 91%

Match score prediction average error: 14.6

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Qualifications
5114 66 1099 124
(109)
B
92% / 50%
66%
3560 4468 5053 72
(98)
B
95% / 45%
2834 4391 2054 152
(132)
B / C
95% / 45%
75%
177 433 5854 50
(108)
--
88% / 5%
1690 5915 3303 117
(92)
B
86% / 9%
68%
2337 5912 74 106
(104)
B
95% / 35%
1860 1250 2522 99
(98)
B
81% / 37%
95%
6134 537 4930 79
(57)
B
23% / 5%
1405 604 5030 66
(78)
B
95% / 5%
69%
5016 6221 5809 94
(68)
B
62% / 5%
5439 2194 6171 91
(87)
--
82% / 5%
73%
5726 3042 329 88
(99)
B
92% / 5%
2451 781 4488 110
(117)
B / C
92% / 56%
81%
5677 2363 3158 107
(97)
B
91% / 14%
3245 1510 1675 113
(90)
B / C
95% / 22%
87%
111 5437 3130 162
(125)
B / C
95% / 47%
2415 3655 4905 71
(119)
B
95% / 54%
70%
1756 3039 2823 87
(107)
B
95% / 20%
5804 181 1622 78
(72)
--
80% / 21%
79%
2619 423 272 106
(90)
B / C
91% / 33%
3238 1806 2783 135
(122)
B
94% / 47%
83%
461 1306 6219 108
(95)
B
95% / 12%
3853 6055 33 114
(101)
B
61% / 26%
58%
540 3015 548 99
(105)
B
95% / 21%
3044 2056 1690 177
(158)
B / C
90% / 65%
95%
4401 5030 5114 117
(85)
B
81% / 5%
3130 433 3042 94
(96)
B
54% / 17%
56%
5912 1250 4930 93
(92)
B
95% / 5%
2522 5016 4468 111
(100)
B / C
95% / 79%
66%
2834 4905 3158 142
(112)
B / C
95% / 36%
2619 5053 6171 98
(97)
B / C
95% / 53%
74%
111 1860 781 111
(114)
B
77% / 70%
2783 1622 2194 97
(80)
B
66% / 5%
82%
3245 6221 2363 101
(103)
B
95% / 37%
5677 2337 1806 118
(119)
B / C
95% / 51%
89%
3560 3015 3655 62
(80)
--
93% / 8%
4488 6219 329 110
(106)
B / C
95% / 40%
95%
5854 3303 6055 79
(76)
B
53% / 5%
272 2056 2451 149
(152)
B / C
95% / 79%
86%
2054 548 1756 114
(128)
B
95% / 44%
5809 1405 540 75
(79)
B
77% / 5%
95%
1099 461 4391 119
(123)
B
95% / 58%
6134 177 1306 111
(78)
B
40% / 5%
74%
604 2415 3044 114
(100)
B
88% / 21%
423 66 74 72
(110)
--
94% / 36%
80%
5437 5726 2823 109
(87)
B
85% / 9%
3039 1510 3238 89
(101)
B
92% / 43%
79%
5439 181 3853 76
(83)
B
72% / 16%
1675 33 537 57
(119)
--
92% / 60%
89%
5915 4401 5804 75
(81)
B
75% / 9%
2194 3015 3303 90
(98)
B
95% / 23%
53%
1690 433 5016 126
(97)
B
52% / 33%
5030 4488 1860 109
(99)
B
90% / 32%
73%
1099 3130 2783 161
(118)
B / C
93% / 52%
3044 6219 5809 102
(89)
B
83% / 9%
71%
1756 5053 4930 124
(100)
B / C
95% / 20%
3158 272 4391 84
(111)
B
95% / 40%
60%
1806 74 1250 120
(116)
B / C
91% / 55%
461 6221 781 87
(98)
B
86% / 43%
71%
329 3039 548 141
(110)
B / C
95% / 42%
4401 3042 177 102
(95)
B
71% / 5%
71%
2363 4905 2619 82
(113)
B
95% / 68%
3245 1306 2823 124
(103)
B / C
95% / 22%
95%
6171 6055 537 73
(67)
B
64% / 5%
4468 5437 1405 116
(107)
B / C
95% / 63%
95%
2337 1622 5439 83
(75)
B
71% / 5%
540 5854 2451 122
(100)
B
75% / 5%
83%
5804 6134 66 86
(75)
B
54% / 5%
111 2834 604 126
(128)
B
95% / 57%
62%
2056 5915 3238 110
(136)
B
95% / 64%
33 2522 181 143
(112)
B / C
79% / 52%
78%
3853 2054 3560 99
(90)
B
63% / 14%
5726 2415 5912 98
(91)
--
92% / 22%
72%
5677 5114 1675 110
(107)
B / C
83% / 44%
423 1510 3042 75
(77)
B
90% / 8%
72%
3655 3303 3044 90
(96)
B
70% / 14%
433 4401 3245 111
(84)
B
75% / 5%
92%
4468 74 548 132
(118)
B / C
93% / 92%
2363 272 1306 86
(96)
B
94% / 16%
72%
5437 3015 4930 112
(111)
B / C
95% / 21%
1250 1690 3238 135
(124)
B
95% / 53%
52%
1756 177 329 109
(125)
B
84% / 46%
540 1099 537 90
(79)
B
83% / 11%
95%
2834 2783 2056 155
(164)
B / C
94% / 86%
6221 5053 6134 72
(74)
--
71% / 6%
83%
5804 4488 5016 118
(102)
B / C
95% / 68%
5809 5912 3853 80
(76)
--
71% / 5%
64%
781 6171 1622 84
(69)
B
54% / 5%
5677 4391 2451 150
(122)
B / C
95% / 48%
95%
5915 1510 604 88
(64)
B
92% / 5%
1860 66 3158 84
(104)
--
70% / 35%
71%
3655 181 1675 91
(86)
B
78% / 37%
3039 1405 111 81
(113)
B
91% / 42%
77%
2522 2054 1806 112
(133)
B
95% / 82%
2194 423 5114 103
(107)
B
91% / 48%
69%
2337 4905 3130 148
(126)
B
95% / 57%
5030 2415 3560 104
(88)
B
95% / 18%
66%
5726 6055 6219 112
(76)
B / C
82% / 5%
5439 2823 461 125
(94)
B
83% / 9%
81%
2619 33 5854 123
(115)
B / C
57% / 49%
6221 537 4468 84
(78)
B
76% / 34%
87%
5912 3303 3238 93
(91)
B
95% / 9%
74 3655 5804 108
(91)
B / C
86% / 20%
53%
604 781 2783 61
(88)
--
86% / 15%
433 5437 1756 115
(96)
B
86% / 5%
78%
3158 1806 6171 116
(112)
B
93% / 48%
3044 272 5915 84
(92)
B
93% / 11%
63%
66 2522 2194 85
(102)
B
94% / 24%
4905 1690 5053 99
(119)
B
95% / 62%
60%
2451 1675 1405 124
(111)
B / C
93% / 53%
1622 5016 6219 83
(84)
B
76% / 11%
89%
33 177 1510 172
(121)
B / C
70% / 39%
3015 5439 4488 112
(93)
B
80% / 22%
72%
2415 423 4391 100
(109)
B
93% / 45%
5809 2619 1250 111
(93)
B / C
95% / 33%
87%
3039 2056 6055 117
(121)
B / C
93% / 38%
4930 4401 3560 80
(90)
B
87% / 5%
68%
111 540 5030 129
(106)
B / C
95% / 35%
5677 1099 548 100
(121)
B
95% / 67%
58%
3130 1306 181 147
(127)
B
95% / 63%
2363 2337 3853 95
(99)
B / C
89% / 20%
64%
2823 2834 6134 104
(109)
B
65% / 19%
3042 1860 2054 105
(101)
B
82% / 22%
88%
5114 3245 461 151
(136)
B / C
95% / 82%
329 5854 4468 118
(109)
B / C
79% / 79%
55%
5726 1675 1806 129
(106)
B / C
78% / 65%
3655 6055 2619 79
(92)
B
92% / 27%
80%
272 433 1405 88
(71)
B
67% / 5%
3303 3560 5809 77
(71)
B
77% / 5%
94%
5439 2783 2451 124
(121)
B
95% / 45%
1250 781 5915 99
(77)
B
88% / 10%
91%
6219 1099 5437 101
(109)
B
95% / 31%
2337 5016 4401 73
(103)
B
95% / 26%
58%
4488 1306 2522 108
(108)
B / C
91% / 53%
5804 2823 548 156
(111)
B
95% / 52%
52%
2194 1860 3044 103
(110)
--
88% / 34%
181 4905 5726 82
(97)
B
95% / 45%
59%
461 604 4930 117
(105)
B
95% / 9%
6134 1756 3015 112
(83)
B
85% / 5%
62%
5030 5912 1510 72
(90)
--
95% / 17%
5114 2363 3039 118
(107)
B
89% / 33%
88%
329 33 4391 149
(143)
B / C
95% / 59%
3853 3245 66 103
(100)
B
95% / 23%
89%
6221 177 2056 167
(138)
B / C
77% / 64%
423 1690 5854 134
(102)
B / C
55% / 39%
59%
3158 537 111 80
(95)
--
75% / 29%
2054 3238 6171 137
(115)
B
95% / 37%
95%
540 1622 5677 79
(80)
--
68% / 5%
74 3130 2834 97
(157)
B
95% / 79%
95%
3042 2415 5053 113
(93)
B / C
95% / 20%
2823 1675 1099 141
(108)
B / C
91% / 52%
79%
604 3015 2522 111
(87)
B
95% / 5%
181 5912 6055 80
(83)
B
83% / 8%
95%
3044 2451 5016 171
(130)
B / C
95% / 68%
3655 4468 461 116
(111)
B / C
95% / 69%
60%
2194 2056 6134 152
(117)
B / C
76% / 31%
1806 2619 4488 135
(128)
B / C
95% / 93%
95%
5114 1510 537 103
(88)
B
80% / 14%
3039 6219 2337 105
(95)
B / C
95% / 32%
64%
433 540 3158 62
(87)
--
67% / 11%
2363 5726 74 119
(95)
B / C
79% / 36%
56%
1756 1860 3853 72
(98)
--
90% / 5%
5677 2834 329 100
(121)
B / C
95% / 56%
84%
5804 5437 5809 67
(102)
--
95% / 39%
781 3238 3245 111
(107)
B / C
95% / 51%
89%
1690 272 33 187
(140)
B / C
95% / 69%
1250 5053 5439 98
(89)
B
95% / 17%
82%
1306 5030 2054 150
(110)
B / C
89% / 23%
423 4930 177 134
(112)
B / C
76% / 44%
79%
2783 5915 1405 106
(85)
B
86% / 6%
1622 2415 111 92
(111)
--
92% / 46%
77%
3303 4905 66 93
(86)
B
95% / 11%
6171 5854 4391 112
(105)
B
77% / 5%
53%
4401 6221 3130 117
(107)
B
94% / 18%
3560 548 5437 109
(103)
B
86% / 10%
65%
3042 3039 5016 113
(90)
B / C
90% / 16%
604 5804 6219 93
(88)
B
95% / 12%
93%
4468 3853 1690 152
(128)
B / C
95% / 80%
3655 329 540 95
(92)
B
86% / 8%
66%
2522 5912 5053 107
(83)
B
84% / 18%
3245 5726 3044 102
(121)
B
95% / 71%
54%
4488 2834 1250 118
(123)
B / C
95% / 82%
66 537 2415 119
(81)
B / C
68% / 6%
58%
2363 781 1405 99
(86)
B
76% / 13%
177 2823 5030 127
(127)
B
75% / 33%
68%
181 3303 1806 120
(111)
B / C
95% / 31%
3130 3158 3015 102
(124)
B
95% / 52%
65%
2054 5915 2619 94
(111)
B
95% / 39%
111 548 5114 125
(146)
B
95% / 89%
95%
6134 5809 5439 85
(68)
B
61% / 5%
1099 4930 2194 98
(116)
B
95% / 53%
73%
3238 5854 74 148
(103)
B / C
63% / 16%
1756 2783 461 112
(121)
B
95% / 41%
92%
5677 4401 6055 80
(77)
--
89% / 5%
6171 1860 4905 95
(95)
B
91% / 25%
70%
272 3560 1510 80
(78)
B
94% / 8%
2337 2056 4391 151
(152)
B / C
95% / 94%
95%
1622 3042 1675 101
(78)
B
72% / 31%
433 1306 6221 84
(85)
B
68% / 5%
95%
423 33 2451 132
(146)
B
95% / 73%
2054 5726 177 87
(126)
B
65% / 55%
95%
5809 3655 537 75
(60)
B
65% / 5%
1690 1806 2834 190
(160)
B / C
95% / 85%
95%
548 5439 66 102
(108)
B
92% / 10%
3158 4401 3303 82
(78)
--
95% / 5%
70%
5053 1099 3853 129
(93)
B / C
95% / 37%
3044 2823 3130 134
(142)
B
89% / 54%
94%
3560 1405 3238 116
(92)
B
82% / 6%
540 1860 5915 107
(80)
B
80% / 5%
85%
2415 5016 5854 115
(114)
--
69% / 49%
74 1306 1675 137
(112)
B / C
85% / 62%
92%
3039 6134 1622 94
(67)
--
64% / 5%
1756 5030 781 126
(95)
B
91% / 14%
86%
4468 2194 4391 127
(118)
B / C
95% / 81%
5437 2056 4905 149
(139)
B / C
95% / 70%
68%
33 5912 4488 127
(124)
B
75% / 46%
272 3042 111 105
(105)
B / C
95% / 39%
76%
5677 6221 6219 83
(87)
B
88% / 6%
2619 329 2451 137
(134)
B / C
95% / 87%
80%
2337 3245 4930 91
(119)
B
95% / 79%
3015 2783 5114 125
(118)
B
95% / 46%
77%
181 6171 1250 107
(101)
B / C
95% / 20%
433 1510 5804 90
(81)
B / C
73% / 24%
90%
2522 2363 461 138
(115)
B / C
94% / 50%
6055 604 1806 100
(102)
B
95% / 13%
77%
423 1860 5053 98
(87)
B / C
88% / 28%
3130 3303 6134 97
(105)
B
78% / 15%
72%
5726 3039 781 78
(84)
B
84% / 37%
74 33 5439 134
(129)
B / C
91% / 41%
93%
3044 5677 537 96
(86)
B
64% / 7%
177 4468 272 122
(117)
B / C
91% / 77%
58%
540 2823 4488 132
(111)
B
95% / 26%
2056 181 1756 132
(143)
B / C
95% / 86%
95%
5854 1405 1306 80
(102)
--
68% / 7%
1510 2337 1099 111
(105)
B / C
95% / 58%
67%
2054 5804 2415 116
(121)
B / C
95% / 63%
6219 1675 2363 120
(106)
B / C
88% / 55%
52%
423 6171 548 102
(105)
B / C
95% / 11%
5437 2522 2783 130
(112)
B
87% / 40%
84%
1690 4391 2619 142
(144)
B / C
95% / 82%
3042 3238 3015 152
(111)
B / C
95% / 29%
83%
5809 66 4401 67
(81)
--
82% / 5%
5915 1622 4905 84
(74)
B
89% / 5%
79%
329 5030 433 111
(98)
B
80% / 10%
3158 5912 3560 78
(73)
--
69% / 5%
82%
604 2194 3245 109
(95)
B / C
95% / 12%
4930 5114 6055 115
(109)
B
95% / 35%
70%
6221 3655 2834 127
(99)
B / C
94% / 24%
5016 461 3853 94
(112)
--
91% / 52%
79%
111 1250 2451 122
(137)
B
95% / 75%

Ranking Predictions (?)

Remember, ranking predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Predictions will update throughout the event.

Predicted rankings as of qualification match #125

Predicted Rank Team Average Rank Highest Rank Median Rank Lowest Rank Average RP Highest RP Lowest RP
1 2056 1.0 1 1 1 37.0 37 37
2 2451 2.0 2 2 2 36.0 36 36
3 2834 3.0 3 3 3 35.0 35 35
4 1690 4.0 4 4 4 34.0 34 34
5 1806 5.0 5 5 5 34.0 34 34
6 2823 6.0 6 6 6 32.0 32 32
7 4488 7.0 7 7 7 32.0 32 32
8 4391 8.0 8 8 8 30.0 30 30
9 3130 9.0 9 9 9 30.0 30 30
10 1675 10.0 10 10 10 30.0 30 30
11 74 11.0 11 11 11 30.0 30 30
12 33 12.0 12 12 12 29.0 29 29
13 2522 13.0 13 13 13 28.0 28 28
14 329 14.0 14 14 14 28.0 28 28
15 3238 15.0 15 15 15 27.0 27 27
16 4468 16.0 16 16 16 26.0 26 26
17 1099 17.0 17 17 17 26.0 26 26
18 3042 18.0 18 18 18 26.0 26 26
19 5437 19.0 19 19 19 25.0 25 25
20 272 20.0 20 20 20 25.0 25 25
21 177 21.0 21 21 21 25.0 25 25
22 2619 22.0 22 22 22 25.0 25 25
23 2054 23.0 23 23 23 25.0 25 25
24 111 24.0 24 24 24 25.0 25 25
25 3039 25.0 25 25 25 25.0 25 25
26 5016 26.0 26 26 26 24.0 24 24
27 6219 27.0 27 27 27 24.0 24 24
28 1250 28.0 28 28 28 24.0 24 24
29 461 29.0 29 29 29 24.0 24 24
30 3245 30.0 30 30 30 23.0 23 23
31 3015 31.0 31 31 31 23.0 23 23
32 2783 32.0 32 32 32 23.0 23 23
33 2337 33.0 33 33 33 23.0 23 23
34 1306 34.0 34 34 34 23.0 23 23
35 5053 35.0 35 35 35 22.0 22 22
36 423 36.0 36 36 36 22.0 22 22
37 4905 37.0 37 37 37 22.0 22 22
38 5114 38.0 38 38 38 22.0 22 22
39 6171 39.0 39 39 39 22.0 22 22
40 2363 40.0 40 40 40 22.0 22 22
41 5726 41.0 41 41 41 22.0 22 22
42 5804 42.0 42 42 42 22.0 22 22
43 1756 43.0 43 43 43 21.0 21 21
44 181 44.0 44 44 44 21.0 21 21
45 2194 45.0 45 45 45 21.0 21 21
46 3044 46.0 46 46 46 21.0 21 21
47 6221 47.0 47 47 47 21.0 21 21
48 548 48.0 48 48 48 21.0 21 21
49 4930 49.0 49 49 49 21.0 21 21
50 5439 50.0 50 50 50 20.0 20 20
51 2415 51.0 51 51 51 20.0 20 20
52 3303 52.0 52 52 52 20.0 20 20
53 3655 53.0 53 53 53 20.0 20 20
54 5677 54.0 54 54 54 20.0 20 20
55 604 55.0 55 55 55 20.0 20 20
56 5854 56.0 56 56 56 19.0 19 19
57 5030 57.0 57 57 57 19.0 19 19
58 6055 58.0 58 58 58 19.0 19 19
59 433 59.0 59 59 59 17.0 17 17
60 1405 60.0 60 60 60 17.0 17 17
61 1510 61.0 61 61 61 17.0 17 17
62 781 62.0 62 62 62 17.0 17 17
63 6134 63.0 63 63 63 17.0 17 17
64 3853 64.0 64 64 64 16.0 16 16
65 66 65.0 65 65 65 16.0 16 16
66 540 66.0 66 66 66 15.0 15 15
67 1860 67.0 67 67 67 14.0 14 14
68 5915 68.0 68 68 68 14.0 14 14
69 4401 69.0 69 69 69 13.0 13 13
70 3158 70.0 70 70 70 12.0 12 12
71 537 71.0 71 71 71 11.0 11 11
72 5809 72.0 72 72 72 10.0 10 10
73 5912 73.0 73 73 73 10.0 10 10
74 3560 74.0 74 74 74 8.0 8 8
75 1622 75.0 75 75 75 8.0 8 8

Playoff Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 87%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 88%

Match score prediction average error: 21.2

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Quarterfinals
1690 2056 3015 250
(212)
B / C
95% / 86%
87%
3238 74 2054 130
(165)
B
95% / 55%
1690 2056 3015 205
(220)
B / C
95% / 91%
92%
4468 74 2054 169
(164)
B / C
95% / 79%
2823 3130 3042 142
(162)
B
95% / 45%
55%
548 4488 1250 130
(159)
B
95% / 82%
3130 2415 3042 147
(165)
B
95% / 57%
65%
548 4488 1250 140
(153)
B
95% / 67%
2451 1806 2194 152
(182)
B
95% / 70%
70%
177 111 1675 113
(162)
B
79% / 68%
2451 1806 2194 195
(180)
B / C
95% / 71%
73%
111 177 3044 144
(157)
B
81% / 48%
2834 33 1756 207
(183)
B / C
95% / 61%
68%
5114 4391 2337 140
(168)
B
95% / 79%
2834 33 1756 154
(186)
B
94% / 65%
76%
5114 4391 2337 125
(164)
B
95% / 72%
Semifinals
1690 2056 3015 165
(217)
B
95% / 88%
92%
2415 3130 3042 180
(164)
B / C
95% / 56%
1405 2056 1690 207
(202)
B / C
95% / 80%
85%
2415 3130 3042 180
(166)
B / C
95% / 60%
1690 2056 1405 209
(203)
B / C
95% / 81%
85%
2415 3130 3042 145
(167)
B
95% / 64%
1806 2451 1306 99
(189)
B
95% / 83%
57%
2834 33 1756 197
(183)
B / C
93% / 62%
1806 2451 1306 150
(170)
B
95% / 56%
66%
2834 33 1756 207
(183)
B / C
92% / 64%
Finals
1690 2056 3015 225
(211)
B / C
95% / 83%
76%
2834 33 1756 160
(186)
B
92% / 66%
1690 2056 3015 210
(213)
B / C
95% / 85%
79%
2834 33 1756 170
(184)
B
93% / 63%