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Carver Division 2022

Advanced Insights

Qualification Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 78%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 94%

Match score prediction average error: 13.2

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Cargo Bonus / Hangar Bonus:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Qualifications
1885 3928 8849 58
(64)
--
50% / 50%
77%
695 620 8748 34
(47)
--
19% / 50%
195 2451 3218 124
(110)
C / H
88% / 92%
81%
1502 1138 2637 87
(86)
C / H
65% / 94%
1700 8738 5199 69
(71)
H
56% / 55%
95%
1690 862 6637 135
(130)
C / H
95% / 78%
8020 2642 6510 74
(68)
H
16% / 95%
95%
4598 2129 7174 48
(35)
H
5% / 25%
870 5727 5338 73
(108)
H
95% / 58%
95%
4153 2718 4125 40
(66)
H
21% / 70%
8733 1323 8531 125
(112)
C / H
95% / 73%
63%
3603 4028 7054 112
(100)
C / H
81% / 95%
4472 987 4635 104
(121)
C / H
95% / 71%
95%
6364 8742 7451 51
(45)
H
18% / 25%
8177 4639 59 90
(111)
C / H
85% / 95%
91%
6024 2491 6421 87
(66)
C / H
42% / 86%
4907 696 7178 117
(123)
C / H
95% / 95%
95%
1622 3654 2611 64
(77)
H
25% / 95%
2073 4561 1073 93
(87)
C
78% / 76%
63%
3284 6919 1114 130
(96)
C
95% / 54%
8085 5735 16 68
(95)
C
95% / 85%
95%
3008 5462 2626 64
(52)
C / H
14% / 71%
2046 3536 1089 119
(114)
C / H
95% / 59%
80%
179 1296 4159 105
(86)
C / H
86% / 34%
604 1796 4598 113
(103)
C / H
94% / 68%
90%
2239 6637 1138 47
(69)
H
19% / 83%
2637 3218 8738 40
(72)
--
24% / 95%
76%
5727 8020 695 99
(55)
C / H
40% / 49%
3603 1690 195 118
(149)
C / H
95% / 95%
95%
987 3928 5338 91
(88)
C / H
77% / 65%
4635 59 4153 114
(99)
C / H
89% / 87%
73%
6510 1323 4125 98
(118)
C / H
95% / 86%
870 620 4639 105
(97)
C / H
73% / 76%
82%
7054 7174 2642 77
(75)
H
37% / 95%
6024 7178 862 116
(83)
C / H
76% / 80%
53%
6421 1073 2129 94
(82)
C
64% / 71%
5462 8531 2073 81
(89)
H
93% / 46%
56%
2491 696 6364 103
(86)
C / H
81% / 88%
7451 2718 179 66
(80)
C
68% / 80%
65%
1885 16 1700 83
(92)
C / H
83% / 79%
2239 4472 8748 67
(42)
H
11% / 31%
95%
1296 4907 1114 133
(119)
C / H
95% / 57%
2626 5199 1622 81
(76)
H
43% / 95%
84%
4159 1502 1796 95
(91)
C
85% / 74%
3654 1089 6919 103
(102)
C / H
88% / 92%
60%
2451 8177 3008 113
(94)
C / H
90% / 77%
8733 604 8742 88
(81)
C / H
74% / 70%
81%
5735 4561 8849 86
(56)
C / H
43% / 38%
2611 3536 4028 105
(106)
C / H
95% / 95%
69%
8085 3284 2046 95
(90)
C / H
92% / 33%
695 1690 7174 99
(104)
C / H
95% / 63%
72%
1138 1073 1323 128
(122)
C / H
95% / 60%
7054 6637 8531 53
(79)
--
61% / 62%
70%
987 2637 6024 98
(93)
C / H
83% / 79%
3928 862 179 123
(121)
C / H
95% / 75%
95%
2073 2718 2642 84
(75)
C / H
42% / 81%
1296 59 3603 99
(102)
C / H
90% / 74%
85%
8020 8738 16 90
(63)
C / H
28% / 64%
2491 5338 2626 48
(57)
C / H
36% / 88%
93%
5199 3218 4472 98
(94)
C / H
95% / 87%
1114 1796 6421 121
(143)
C / H
95% / 79%
95%
6510 2451 1885 106
(99)
C / H
84% / 95%
2239 3008 6919 80
(74)
C / H
63% / 68%
51%
696 1700 8849 74
(74)
C
57% / 56%
4561 1502 8748 92
(76)
C / H
69% / 57%
79%
5462 4598 2046 110
(92)
C / H
83% / 84%
8085 4907 4635 80
(105)
H
95% / 63%
75%
1089 7178 8733 89
(90)
C / H
91% / 74%
4639 2611 6364 110
(83)
C / H
90% / 91%
68%
5727 4028 8742 131
(96)
C / H
71% / 93%
2129 8177 3284 83
(76)
C / H
65% / 52%
82%
4159 4153 620 58
(54)
--
8% / 72%
7451 4125 5735 52
(43)
--
10% / 35%
93%
3654 195 3536 116
(88)
C / H
51% / 95%
604 870 987 130
(142)
C / H
95% / 95%
95%
1622 1073 1296 118
(77)
C / H
72% / 37%
16 2073 2491 104
(93)
C / H
89% / 82%
95%
2642 1323 2451 138
(160)
C / H
95% / 95%
8849 7054 59 76
(70)
H
65% / 66%
95%
696 4472 1796 97
(121)
C
95% / 72%
2046 1138 2718 56
(88)
H
95% / 74%
53%
8531 8020 6919 63
(91)
C
69% / 77%
862 2637 5462 97
(101)
C / H
94% / 74%
78%
1885 5338 4907 62
(79)
H
60% / 88%
8748 1089 1700 58
(63)
C
72% / 19%
90%
4028 2626 6510 90
(86)
C / H
75% / 95%
5727 4635 4598 99
(96)
C / H
73% / 72%
71%
179 2129 5199 120
(113)
C
95% / 89%
4153 1114 695 110
(92)
C / H
92% / 72%
56%
5735 4639 1502 80
(97)
C / H
95% / 74%
4125 3284 3008 83
(53)
C / H
50% / 14%
91%
8738 6421 604 125
(89)
C / H
86% / 68%
6364 195 870 102
(112)
C / H
83% / 95%
72%
7178 8085 8177 83
(94)
C / H
70% / 92%
7451 1622 1690 86
(94)
C
76% / 85%
53%
2611 4561 620 107
(91)
C / H
87% / 80%
6637 4159 7174 80
(43)
C
5% / 29%
95%
8742 3603 3654 73
(81)
C / H
69% / 95%
3218 8733 2239 81
(63)
C / H
5% / 87%
77%
3536 6024 3928 97
(81)
C / H
64% / 70%
1323 8849 1796 115
(122)
C / H
95% / 79%
63%
862 987 2642 112
(114)
C / H
95% / 95%
4028 5338 4472 105
(83)
C
70% / 89%
85%
2451 2129 696 101
(111)
C / H
95% / 49%
6919 2626 2718 43
(64)
--
46% / 62%
75%
4907 695 4639 108
(86)
C / H
85% / 71%
1502 1296 5727 124
(110)
C / H
86% / 85%
74%
6421 1700 3284 108
(88)
C / H
87% / 50%
8738 5735 1089 78
(69)
C / H
75% / 38%
66%
4598 8531 870 110
(80)
C / H
55% / 58%
4153 7178 4561 110
(102)
C / H
89% / 95%
61%
2073 59 1885 90
(95)
C / H
78% / 94%
8748 4159 195 80
(57)
C / H
36% / 23%
95%
7174 4635 604 97
(109)
C / H
90% / 83%
2046 2239 3928 130
(102)
C / H
91% / 90%
92%
1622 6364 6510 94
(66)
C / H
13% / 90%
7451 8177 1114 85
(91)
C / H
87% / 57%
65%
3008 8020 1690 86
(104)
C / H
92% / 81%
7054 6024 1138 69
(62)
H
26% / 93%
95%
5199 3654 16 117
(115)
C / H
95% / 95%
3536 8085 8742 61
(70)
H
52% / 59%
53%
620 2491 2637 92
(72)
C / H
52% / 72%
6637 2611 5462 92
(87)
C / H
69% / 84%
77%
1073 8733 179 120
(105)
C / H
95% / 58%
4125 3603 2129 32
(61)
--
50% / 39%
91%
3218 1796 4639 127
(99)
C / H
95% / 83%
987 2451 1700 135
(113)
C / H
95% / 84%
93%
4598 695 7178 65
(81)
C / H
86% / 79%
2718 5735 4028 85
(85)
C
67% / 78%
58%
4561 59 4159 107
(92)
C / H
84% / 63%
8738 2073 1502 82
(76)
C / H
61% / 69%
74%
8849 4635 5338 92
(59)
C / H
46% / 55%
5727 2046 1885 153
(113)
C / H
82% / 91%
95%
604 1323 1690 172
(182)
C / H
95% / 95%
6024 1296 6364 76
(87)
C / H
82% / 86%
85%
7174 6919 7451 52
(57)
--
44% / 14%
1089 7054 8020 105
(79)
C / H
79% / 76%
51%
3928 2491 1622 101
(80)
C / H
85% / 71%
179 4472 3654 122
(108)
C / H
95% / 90%
85%
8531 6421 8085 105
(79)
C / H
61% / 52%
2637 4125 8177 56
(81)
--
69% / 74%
79%
8748 2611 8733 57
(60)
H
43% / 55%
16 2626 696 100
(98)
C / H
92% / 81%
69%
1114 195 6637 114
(114)
C / H
85% / 95%
1073 4153 3536 79
(93)
C
76% / 77%
67%
4907 2642 1138 103
(83)
C / H
40% / 95%
3603 6510 3218 82
(79)
C / H
62% / 90%
90%
3284 870 862 122
(115)
C / H
93% / 77%
8742 3008 620 57
(62)
C
24% / 61%
95%
5462 2239 5199 102
(100)
C / H
83% / 95%
1796 6024 4635 56
(106)
C
89% / 82%
69%
5338 695 2046 98
(89)
C / H
84% / 67%
2073 5735 1296 65
(90)
C
93% / 49%
90%
1690 7054 2491 132
(119)
C / H
95% / 92%
8531 8849 1622 63
(61)
H
19% / 59%
59%
2129 1885 8085 103
(54)
C / H
31% / 55%
4561 1700 1323 118
(132)
C / H
95% / 90%
95%
2637 6364 3654 76
(82)
C / H
68% / 89%
7178 4159 3928 81
(89)
C / H
92% / 58%
81%
6637 4472 4125 71
(64)
H
44% / 31%
2451 7174 8020 58
(87)
--
59% / 74%
90%
2626 8738 4153 51
(50)
C / H
5% / 85%
4639 8748 16 100
(87)
C / H
95% / 64%
79%
3284 3536 987 121
(109)
C / H
95% / 88%
2718 6510 696 112
(78)
C / H
52% / 76%
74%
5199 604 7451 97
(95)
C / H
95% / 59%
6919 4028 8733 96
(102)
C / H
94% / 88%
57%
862 4598 195 120
(98)
C / H
78% / 95%
3008 2642 2611 106
(82)
C / H
82% / 95%
57%
1502 2239 3603 105
(87)
C / H
71% / 95%
3218 1073 4907 103
(101)
C / H
84% / 67%
62%
8742 179 8177 66
(108)
C
95% / 93%
1114 1138 59 113
(107)
C / H
91% / 95%
52%
1089 620 5727 86
(106)
C / H
84% / 74%
8849 5462 6421 83
(87)
C / H
70% / 78%
95%
870 1690 4159 112
(127)
C
94% / 56%
6637 1622 2451 65
(94)
H
78% / 78%
84%
5735 4635 1323 146
(126)
C / H
95% / 80%
1796 5338 8085 81
(73)
C
59% / 57%
87%
1296 4639 4561 110
(114)
C / H
95% / 87%
3536 6364 2129 90
(74)
C / H
53% / 79%
72%
2718 7054 8738 54
(56)
H
15% / 77%
695 3654 987 100
(99)
C / H
95% / 89%
82%
8733 6510 2491 69
(78)
H
71% / 95%
2642 7451 2239 87
(68)
C / H
24% / 82%
84%
7178 2637 3284 102
(95)
C / H
95% / 81%
7174 16 179 111
(110)
C / H
95% / 81%
57%
8177 4028 1502 110
(115)
C / H
95% / 95%
1073 862 8531 95
(104)
C / H
95% / 52%
85%
3008 8748 5727 59
(70)
C
63% / 44%
3928 5199 6421 113
(120)
C / H
95% / 84%
87%
4153 2611 6919 108
(92)
C / H
89% / 92%
1700 604 5462 91
(99)
C / H
94% / 92%
63%
4472 3603 1089 84
(91)
C / H
92% / 47%
2626 8742 1138 73
(46)
C / H
11% / 66%
95%
59 2046 870 120
(136)
C / H
95% / 95%
696 1885 1114 110
(130)
C / H
95% / 95%
95%
3218 4598 6024 58
(64)
H
41% / 72%
620 4907 8020 113
(76)
C / H
36% / 86%
60%
195 4125 2073 111
(83)
C
63% / 73%
8733 1690 3284 129
(114)
C / H
95% / 70%
76%
1796 2718 2451 66
(95)
--
86% / 46%
2491 179 4561 114
(120)
C / H
95% / 91%
95%
6510 2239 8738 65
(70)
H
31% / 93%
1323 4159 7054 91
(117)
C / H
95% / 92%
95%
8085 7451 1073 69
(62)
H
45% / 42%
2642 8748 6364 82
(68)
C / H
46% / 79%
66%
5338 6637 5735 71
(59)
H
36% / 48%
2637 5199 4153 83
(95)
C / H
95% / 89%
52%
4028 8849 1089 105
(96)
C / H
95% / 60%
7178 5462 3603 83
(92)
C / H
78% / 95%
55%
1138 5727 8177 109
(89)
C / H
63% / 87%
604 6919 3218 116
(110)
C / H
95% / 89%
72%
59 987 2611 109
(123)
C / H
95% / 95%
195 6024 1622 65
(83)
--
47% / 90%
61%
4472 2073 3008 71
(74)
C
70% / 59%
3654 1885 1296 80
(95)
H
82% / 95%
59%
4635 3928 2626 108
(87)
C / H
83% / 72%
8020 1502 862 93
(99)
C / H
92% / 92%
51%
4639 696 8742 93
(100)
C
86% / 77%
4907 6421 4598 82
(104)
C
86% / 91%
74%
620 16 2046 114
(121)
C / H
95% / 91%
4125 1114 3536 101
(98)
C
88% / 79%
92%
1700 7174 8531 52
(60)
H
14% / 35%
2129 695 4561 88
(80)
C / H
74% / 71%
77%
870 1089 6637 101
(100)
C / H
82% / 68%
6364 2451 1073 111
(105)
C / H
95% / 69%
88%
8849 5199 3603 71
(77)
C / H
76% / 55%
6919 8085 7054 69
(84)
H
66% / 80%
91%
1690 4153 2239 114
(118)
C / H
95% / 95%
1323 3284 6024 95
(115)
C
95% / 82%
65%
195 179 5462 113
(126)
C / H
93% / 95%
5338 6510 1296 75
(79)
H
65% / 85%
55%
1138 3008 7178 62
(77)
H
62% / 95%
4159 8738 4472 62
(55)
H
23% / 31%
85%
4639 8733 1885 83
(86)
C / H
67% / 95%
6421 620 4028 110
(117)
C / H
95% / 84%
87%
4635 3218 2718 99
(81)
C / H
54% / 80%
1502 8531 3928 112
(99)
C
95% / 75%
73%
59 7451 4907 124
(84)
C / H
69% / 69%
8177 4598 2073 94
(75)
C / H
64% / 64%
85%
3536 2626 604 119
(98)
C / H
92% / 95%
4125 8742 695 54
(55)
C
52% / 34%
93%
16 1622 2642 105
(100)
C / H
80% / 94%
2611 2046 2491 130
(114)
C / H
95% / 95%
56%
862 1114 2129 95
(110)
C
95% / 82%
696 5727 2637 140
(112)
C / H
88% / 77%
84%
7174 987 5735 104
(82)
C / H
83% / 58%
1700 870 3654 95
(89)
C / H
59% / 94%
79%
8020 8748 1796 61
(64)
C
50% / 41%

Ranking Predictions (?)

Remember, ranking predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Predictions will update throughout the event.

Predicted rankings as of qualification match #125

Predicted Rank Team Average Rank Highest Rank Median Rank Lowest Rank Average RP Highest RP Lowest RP
1 604 1.0 1 1 1 38.0 38 38
2 870 2.0 2 2 2 38.0 38 38
3 1323 3.0 3 3 3 35.0 35 35
4 1690 4.0 4 4 4 34.0 34 34
5 862 5.0 5 5 5 34.0 34 34
6 2046 6.0 6 6 6 33.0 33 33
7 1114 7.0 7 7 7 33.0 33 33
8 59 8.0 8 8 8 33.0 33 33
9 3536 9.0 9 9 9 33.0 33 33
10 987 10.0 10 10 10 32.0 32 32
11 4639 11.0 11 11 11 32.0 32 32
12 8733 12.0 12 12 12 32.0 32 32
13 195 13.0 13 13 13 31.0 31 31
14 179 14.0 14 14 14 31.0 31 31
15 4907 15.0 15 15 15 31.0 31 31
16 4561 16.0 16 16 16 31.0 31 31
17 3928 17.0 17 17 17 31.0 31 31
18 16 18.0 18 18 18 31.0 31 31
19 7178 19.0 19 19 19 31.0 31 31
20 6364 20.0 20 20 20 31.0 31 31
21 5727 21.0 21 21 21 30.0 30 30
22 3284 22.0 22 22 22 30.0 30 30
23 4028 23.0 23 23 23 30.0 30 30
24 696 24.0 24 24 24 30.0 30 30
25 4635 25.0 25 25 25 30.0 30 30
26 2642 26.0 26 26 26 30.0 30 30
27 8020 27.0 27 27 27 30.0 30 30
28 1296 28.0 28 28 28 29.0 29 29
29 2491 29.0 29 29 29 29.0 29 29
30 1089 30.0 30 30 30 29.0 29 29
31 5462 31.0 31 31 31 29.0 29 29
32 2611 32.0 32 32 32 28.0 28 28
33 3654 33.0 33 33 33 28.0 28 28
34 2451 34.0 34 34 34 27.0 27 27
35 5199 35.0 35 35 35 27.0 27 27
36 3218 36.0 36 36 36 27.0 27 27
37 620 37.0 37 37 37 27.0 27 27
38 695 38.0 38 38 38 27.0 27 27
39 6421 39.0 39 39 39 26.0 26 26
40 1073 40.0 40 40 40 26.0 26 26
41 1885 41.0 41 41 41 26.0 26 26
42 1700 42.0 42 42 42 26.0 26 26
43 4472 43.0 43 43 43 26.0 26 26
44 2637 44.0 44 44 44 26.0 26 26
45 4159 45.0 45 45 45 26.0 26 26
46 3008 46.0 46 46 46 26.0 26 26
47 1796 47.0 47 47 47 25.0 25 25
48 4598 48.0 48 48 48 25.0 25 25
49 8177 49.0 49 49 49 25.0 25 25
50 2239 50.0 50 50 50 25.0 25 25
51 4153 51.0 51 51 51 24.0 24 24
52 6510 52.0 52 52 52 24.0 24 24
53 1138 53.0 53 53 53 24.0 24 24
54 5338 54.0 54 54 54 24.0 24 24
55 1502 55.0 55 55 55 23.0 23 23
56 8849 56.0 56 56 56 23.0 23 23
57 2626 57.0 57 57 57 23.0 23 23
58 3603 58.0 58 58 58 22.0 22 22
59 2129 59.0 59 59 59 22.0 22 22
60 6024 60.0 60 60 60 22.0 22 22
61 6919 61.0 61 61 61 21.0 21 21
62 8531 62.0 62 62 62 21.0 21 21
63 6637 63.0 63 63 63 21.0 21 21
64 7174 64.0 64 64 64 20.0 20 20
65 7054 65.0 65 65 65 19.0 19 19
66 8742 66.0 66 66 66 19.0 19 19
67 5735 67.0 67 67 67 18.0 18 18
68 8085 68.0 68 68 68 18.0 18 18
69 2073 69.0 69 69 69 17.0 17 17
70 8748 70.0 70 70 70 17.0 17 17
71 8738 71.0 71 71 71 16.0 16 16
72 1622 72.0 72 72 72 15.0 15 15
73 7451 73.0 73 73 73 14.0 14 14
74 2718 74.0 74 74 74 13.0 13 13
75 4125 75.0 75 75 75 11.0 11 11

Playoff Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 87%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 100%

Match score prediction average error: 25.0

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Cargo Bonus / Hangar Bonus:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Quarterfinals
604 4153 1323 166
(139)
--
95% / 95%
74%
4639 16 4635 95
(122)
--
95% / 89%
604 4153 1323 130
(146)
--
95% / 95%
85%
4639 16 4635 118
(117)
--
95% / 87%
696 862 5199 152
(126)
--
95% / 90%
69%
987 4907 1114 148
(138)
--
95% / 95%
696 862 5199 134
(132)
--
95% / 95%
64%
987 4907 1114 150
(140)
--
95% / 95%
696 862 5199 70
(132)
--
95% / 95%
66%
987 4907 1114 128
(141)
--
95% / 95%
2046 870 1796 82
(131)
--
95% / 76%
59%
195 3536 5727 110
(123)
--
84% / 95%
6421 870 1796 143
(114)
--
94% / 58%
57%
3536 5727 195 158
(120)
--
86% / 95%
4028 1690 1138 135
(133)
--
95% / 92%
54%
59 4561 179 97
(131)
--
95% / 93%
4028 1690 1138 120
(133)
--
95% / 93%
63%
179 4561 59 94
(124)
--
95% / 94%
Semifinals
604 4153 1323 133
(143)
--
95% / 95%
55%
987 4907 1114 130
(140)
--
95% / 95%
604 4153 1323 150
(142)
--
95% / 95%
55%
1114 4907 987 0
(139)
--
95% / 95%
195 5727 3536 100
(127)
--
89% / 95%
55%
4028 1690 1138 154
(131)
--
95% / 86%
1296 5727 195 87
(124)
--
89% / 95%
64%
4028 1690 1138 103
(134)
--
95% / 90%
Finals
604 4153 1323 158
(143)
--
95% / 95%
69%
4028 1690 1138 116
(131)
--
95% / 85%
604 4153 1323 122
(144)
--
95% / 95%
74%
4028 1690 1138 121
(129)
--
95% / 87%